California Democrats’ Proposed Retaliatory Gerrymander Against Texas Could Be Triggered if Another Democratic State Engages in Its Own Partisan Gerrymander

California Democratic leaders are preparing to put a measure before voters that would temporarily suspend congressional redistricting maps drawn by an independent commission for the rest of the decade as retaliation for Texas (or other Republican) states engaging in their own Republican gerrymanders. We’ve been told that the law would be written with a trigger, so that if California approves it, the measure would only kick in as a tit-for-tat against a Republican gerrymander in Texas or elsewhere.

Yet this released bill, which is perhaps still a work in progress, would seem to kick in if any state does any mid-decade redistricting, even if that’s another Democratic state going a gerrymander. (There’s an exception for court ordered redistricting and a special rule for Ohio that is already slated to redraw their maps). Here’s the relevant text of the trigger:

(b) Notwithstanding any other provision of this Constitution or existing law, the single-member districts for Congress reflected in Assembly Bill 604 of the 2025–26 Regular Session shall temporarily be used for every congressional election for a term of office commencing on or after the date this subdivision becomes operative and before the certification of new congressional boundary lines drawn by the Citizens Redistricting Commission pursuant to subdivision (e).

(c) (1) Subdivision (b) shall become operative only if Texas, Florida, or another state adopts a new congressional district map that takes effect after August 1, 2025, and before January 1, 2031, and such redistricting is not required by a federal court order.

(2) The condition described in paragraph (1) shall include a new congressional district map adopted by the State of Ohio only if the map is adopted pursuant to division (F)(3) of Section 1 of Article XIX of the Ohio Constitution.

Now maybe this is just a drafting glitch and it will be fixed before it goes to the voters. But one could easily see a Democratic-dominated state such as Illinois or Maryland tweak their maps JUST to trigger the California re-redistrict. It could also be triggered if a state voluntarily makes changes in light of Supreme Court rulings on the Voting Rights Act or otherwise.

Stay tuned.

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“The collapse of Common Cause’s vision for US democracy”

Steven Hill:

No organization has led the effort for redistricting reform more than Common Cause. I have known many Common Cause leaders, both nationally and in California where I live. They have all been good and admirable people who cared deeply about safeguarding and improving US democracy. But from my perspective, Common Cause has often been the “conservatives” in the political reform movement, pushing tepid reform that really didn’t accomplish all that much, and usually refusing to support more fundamental reform, such as instant runoff voting/ranked choice voting or proportional representation. It took a number of years for Common Cause to come around on other commonsense reforms, such as automatic voter registration and public financing of campaigns, which it now supports but in my experience their support often has been lukewarm and unreliable, with occasional exceptions.

Still, their leadership for redistricting reforms, especially nonpartisan independent redistricting commissions (IRCs), has been unwavering. Passing political reform is hard work, yet Common Cause leaders plugged away at it year after year, decade after decade, and for that they deserve praise. IRCs have been their signature reform for making US democracy more fair and representative, their leadership on display across many campaigns. In a recent policy statement commenting on this unfolding mid-decade debacle, Common Cause leadership declared: “Independent redistricting commissions are still the best mechanism we know of for achieving fair representation.”

And now that strategy is in utter tatters….

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Q & A with Me in New York Magazine: “The Supreme Court Could Supercharge the GOP’s Redistricting Power Grab”

I spoke with New York’s Intelligencer‘s Nia Prater:

What are the potential ramifications if the Court weakens Section Two or ultimately does away with it?


First of all, it would be a huge blow for minority representation. A big part of the reason that we have such diverse legislative bodies, including Congress and state legislatures, is because the Voting Rights Act requires the drawing of districts to give minority voters the same opportunities as other voters to participate in the political process and to elect representatives of their choice. So we would see much whiter legislative bodies, including Congress, if the Court got rid of Section Two. But it would also, as I said in relation to your earlier question about Texas, give states, including southern states that have long been found to have engaged in race discrimination in voting, a freer hand in drawing partisan gerrymanders. Those gerrymanders help white Republicans and hurt minority voters and Democrats. And so, there would be a much greater chance to engage in the kind of partisan gerrymandering that we’re seeing being pushed now in Texas all across areas where Republicans have control of the state government.

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“Newsmax pays $67 million to settle defamation case linked to 2020 election coverage”

NPR:

Newsmax will pay $67 million to settle one of the last outstanding defamation lawsuits against a news organization for airing false claims that the 2020 election was rigged.

Denver-based Dominion Voting Systems – the same voting-technology company that had received a $787 million settlement from Fox News over its election coverage – brought the lawsuit against Newsmax. A trial was scheduled to begin in October.

In the lawsuit, filed in the months after the 2020 election, Dominion accused the cable news network of spreading false claims that the company’s voting technology had been manipulated to help Joe Biden beat Donald Trump. Like other right-wing news networks, Newsmax featured Trump allies who promoted these conspiracies, including former Trump campaign lawyer Sidney Powell and supporter Mike Lindell of My Pillow.

Newsmax announced the settlement in an Aug. 15 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. According to the document, the network paid $27 million of the settlement on that day; the rest will be paid by January 2027.

Multiple court rulings and investigations by election officials have found no widespread fraud was present in the 2020 election; even still, these debunked claims were still being echoed by factions of Trump supporters in 2024. Dominion has said the election lies caused the company and its employees extensive harm, including death threats and lost revenue….

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No, President Trump Can’t Ban Mail in Ballots or Voting Machines, as His Truth Social Post Suggests He Might Try to Do

This morning President Trump put out a post on Truth Social that shares some of his usual and debunked conspiracy theories about voter fraud in elections. Part of the post says that he will “lead a movement” to get rid of mail-in ballots and voting machines. Nothing wrong or illegal about that, and there can be a debate about these things.

But part of the post says that Trump is going to sign an executive order purporting to direct how the midterm elections will be run, on the theory that states are merely an “agent” of the federal government in counting and tabulating the votes. This is wrong and dangerous. TheConstitution does not give the President any control over federal elections. Federal courts have recognized this in the context of his first EO on elections issued months ago–and part put on hold through preliminary injunctions.

CONGRESS in Article I, Section 4 has the power to make or alter state rules for the conduct of congressional elections, but even this congressional power does not extend to state and local elections—witness how Arizona has different rules for voter registration and proof of citizenship applicable in states vs federal elections. CONGRESS also has the power to ensure certain equality in the conduct of elections, for example, to enforce the 15th Amendment’s guarantee against race discrimination in elections. The PRESIDENT has the power to “take care” that these laws are faithfully executed, but that is not the power to take over state elections. It does not make states agents of the federal government, much less agents of the executive branch.

I will have more to say about this, but I will say now that the danger of interference in the midterm elections is real, and this is a dangerous step in this direction. The timing may be connected to trying to distract from the debacle of the Russia-Ukraine war negotiations, but I was expecting more like this and now is the time to be prepared.

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DOJ increases pressure to vacuum up voter files

A month ago, I noted that the DOJ’s Civil Rights Division had sent demands to a bunch of states for copies of the voter files.  These letters were pretty unusual.  I didn’t think DOJ’s ostensible rationale for demanding the files made much sense.  I didn’t think the statutes DOJ cited entitled them to the information they were demanding.  Indeed, I thought federal law precluded DOJ from amassing this information (at least until they do some more homework).

Now the Civil Rights Division is out with a new letter (as before, it’s not clear how many states were recipients, but it seems to be widespread, and perhaps national).  The new letter is from the head of the Civil Rights Division, Assistant AG Harmeet Dhillon (previous iterations were from the acting chief of the Voting Section).  It cites some different statutes.  But it’s not ultimately more persuasive on any of the points above.

It sure looks like the Civil Rights Division is trying to do what the Pence-Kobach Commission failed to do eight years ago: assemble a national voter file.  (Why?  I’m not sure.  And that’s part of the problem.  I’ve got guesses, but federal law says I don’t have to guess.  Before the federal government does something like this, it has to explain itself.)  I thought that was likely illegal then, and I think it’s still likely illegal now.

What follows takes a closer look at these new letters. (It’s a longer analysis, so I’ve tucked the good stuff away under the headers below.)

The ostensible rationale for the files (the NVRA/HAVA).

The NVRA and HAVA each require states to conduct general programs of list maintenance that make reasonable efforts to clean the rolls.  (Here’s the NVRA version, here’s the HAVA version.)  There are more specific provisions in each statute protecting against inaccurate overcleaning: list maintenance comes with a thumb on the scales for not tossing potentially eligible voters if you’re not sure.  But the main point is that both statutes put list maintenance firmly in the hands of the states, and in that endeavor, both require reasonable maintenance procedures, not record-by-record assurance that every ineligible voter is removed.

The new letters offer a very different vision.  “In charging the Attorney General with enforcement of the voter registration list requirements in HAVA and in the NVRA, Congress plainly intended that DOJ be able to conduct an independent review of each state’s list.”  Not just a review of a state’s general program of list maintenance – a review of each state’s listEach state’s list.  That staggering assertion of federal intervention comes with no citation to any specific statutory provision, and is not supported by any that I’m aware of (nor any historical DOJ practice, nor any judicial precedent).  But the Civil Rights Division thinks it so important that it copied the sentence twice, verbatim, in a 2½-page letter.  Maybe they think repeating it makes it seem truthier?

If the Civil Rights Division were focused instead on the actual language of the statute, they’d recognize that the responsibility they actually have is reviewing a state’s general program of list maintenance.  That means that it’s entirely legit to ask questions about state procedures for cleaning the rolls, and even to ask for statistics that might touch on those procedures’ efficacy.  (While federal law puts some constraints on collecting personal voter information – see below – it’s entirely agnostic about DOJ questions on procedures and stats.)  But data on particular individuals isn’t particularly helpful in enforcing the NVRA/HAVA provisions the letters cite.  Knowing whether “Justin Levitt” is on the voter rolls in a particular state, and knowing Levitt’s Social Security digits, isn’t especially responsive to whether that state has or doesn’t have the general program required by statute.

The new statutory citation (the Civil Rights Act).

Earlier versions of the gimme-all-your-data letter focused on the NVRA’s provision for public access to the voter rolls, which has been repeatedly construed to allow states to keep sensitive info (like Social Security digits) private even while requiring public disclosure of a lot of other material.  The new letter makes clear that the Civil Rights Division wants all fields – which, again, the letter says twice, because then you know it’s serious.  And the new letter cites a different source of authority: the Civil Rights Act of 1960. But that statute doesn’t do what DOJ wants it to do either.

The Civil Rights Act of 1960 has a provision that requires election officials to keep election-related records for 22 months.  And it has a provision that authorizes the Attorney General to ask to inspect, reproduce, or copy any such record (which is cited in the letter), with a written note explaining the basis and the purpose for the demand (which is not cited in the letter).

There’s admittedly not a ton of caselaw on this provision, and what little there is was developed around Southern jurisdictions at a time when records involved less personal data and more blatant discrimination.  But I’ve always thought of the retention provision like a litigation hold: election officials, don’t throw anything out for 22 months, in case there’s a problem.  If DOJ has reason to believe there was a problem, it may come asking for specific records later.  The litigation hold is for everything, but any particular DOJ request from that universe isn’t automatically coextensive with “everything”: each request has to have not merely a “purpose,” but also – and separately under the statute, lest it be mere surplusage – a “basis.”  That’s a little like probable cause — it’s not terribly demanding (the articulation in an internal justification memo for opening an investigation in the first instance would normally more than suffice), and properly gives a lot of latitude to the government, but “I’m just curious” isn’t enough. 

And this all makes sense, given the recordkeeping environment of 1960.  If the Civil Rights Division had reason to believe that particular eligible voters had been denied the right to vote, it’s clear that this provision authorized the Division to go look up their registration cards and go look at the pollbooks to see if they checked in.  But it’s just as clear to me that this provision didn’t authorize DOJ to collect copies of all of the registration cards from all of the states — “each state’s list” — to go fishing to see what they could find.  Such a demand wouldn’t have the “basis” the statute requires.

The affirmative restriction on the federal government (the Privacy Act).

Everything above is about why the statutes in the letter don’t authorize the Civil Rights Division to get what it wants.  But there’s a different federal statute that I think affirmatively prevents the DOJ from getting what it wants, and the statutes above have to be read in light of that statute too.

That statute is the Privacy Act of 1974.  It says that before the federal government collects records on individuals, the government has to facilitate a public conversation – a Federal Register notice and notification to congressional committees — about what information it plans to collect, why it needs the information, who has access, and the like.  That’s 5 U.S.C. § 552a(e)(4) and 552a(r).  Federal officials who collect info on Americans without this public notice are committing a federal crime.  State officials who intend to help the Civil Rights Division blow past this notice requirement may be abetting that crime.

The new letters mention a totally different part of the Privacy Act, and otherwise make some noises about privacy, but those are mostly non sequiturs.  I still haven’t seen any indication that the Civil Rights Division has done the homework the Privacy Act requires to collect the voter files.  They’ve provided notices on some information the Division maintains in the course of regular enforcement work: enforcing civil rights means you’ll collect some info about victims and targets and witnesses.  But none of those notices fairly flag that the Division plans to accumulate a national voter file, with the personal information (and First Amendment activity) of Americans who aren’t any of the above.

The Privacy Act isn’t just a process barrier of its own.  It also provides important context for understanding the litigation-hold provisions of the Civil Rights Act of 1960.  Given increasing congressional skepticism of federal government acquisition of Americans’ personal data in 1974, it would be deeply weird (not to mention ahistorical) to read the 1960 statute to override the careful constraints in the Privacy Act, giving the Civil Rights Division the authority to vacuum up information on more than 155 million voters, without  any individualized “basis” and in service of an invented federal power to double-check every state’s list.  Instead, reading the two statutes together helps confirm that the Civil Rights Act authority is as we thought it was: authorizing the AG to get specific information where there’s reason to believe there was a particularized problem in an election within the last 22 months.

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ELB Book Corner: Karen Sebold: “Why Elon Musk Got Away with His $1 Million Give-Away: Loose Campaign Finance Laws and Even Looser Enforcement”

I am pleased to welcome Karen Sebold to ELB Book Corner, writing about her new book, Evaluating Campaign Finance Oversight: An Assessment of the Federal Election Commission. (Use that link with code LXFANDF30 for a 30 percent discount). Here is… Continue reading