May your ’20s be even better than you allow yourself to imagine.
Election Data Services and Polidata have their new apportionment calculations up, based on the latest year-end Census estimates – they estimate the congressional seats apportioned to each state if the Census count follows past trends … and if the count is accurate. This time next year, we’ll have the real numbers in hand.
Hansi Lo Wang with an NPR report on prison gerrymandering.
I’ve tried to convince the Census Bureau to change the way it counts people who are incarcerated, but no national change is coming this decade. States and localities are waking up, though — the Prison Gerrymandering Projct has the latest tally of all the jurisdictions.
Hansi also covers the Census Bureau’s final report on its 2019 test of placing a citizenship question on the decennial enumeration. (That test, of course, was conducted after Secretary Ross had already decided to include the question.)
The final report finds little impact overall, but a significant impact on some sizable populations. I also wonder whether the white-hot publicity over the citizenship question in 2019 artificially depressed the “control” group of individuals asked to respond to the test questionnaire without the additional question … and the degree of any continuing reluctance to respond to the Census even with the citizenship question now legally barred.
I have to assume that quote #30 – from the SCOTUS decision on the census’s citizenship question – is just a shameless attempt to get a retweet from @LeahLitman. (Hi, Leah!)
With lots of election security concerns in the air, a problem in 2016 with electronic pollbooks in Durham County generated a fair amount of attention. At the time, it didn’t look like a malicious incursion, but that didn’t stop speculation, particularly in the aftermath of the Mueller Report. And it was a good idea to do a real investigation, just to check.
Sam Levine, from his new post at the Guardian, with a report.
Campaigns & Elections magazine looks to the year ahead.
Michigan’s new independent commission law requires the Secretary of State to send hundreds of thousands of applications to randomly selected citizens … and the applications are now in the mail.
Dauphin County is the last over the line to purchase a new voting system with a paper trail, right at the deadline.
On Friday, the federal court rejected a preliminary injunction seeking to reinstate about 98,000 registration entries who had not responded to notices or contacted election officials since January 1, 2012 – declining (under Pennhurst) to issue a federal order enforcing state law, and otherwise finding insufficient proof of severe constitutional burden. More here and here.
The lede from the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel:
“The Wisconsin Elections Commission deadlocked Monday over whether to remove the voter registrations of more than 200,000 people in response to a judge’s order. The commission’s inability to reach a consensus means the voters will stay on the rolls for at least the time being.”
There are dueling cases here – a state case with an order from a trial judge to remove voters from the rolls, currently on appeal, and a federal case seeking an order to keep the voters on the rolls. It appears that approximately 88,000 or so of the entries correspond to people who have moved within the same municipality. Wisconsin, with same-day registration, is exempt from federal NVRA provisions limiting purges of the rolls.