Tag Archives: young voters

Mamdani’s electoral coalition in the primary (a revision)

primaries, voter registration,

Justin popping back in. Today, the NYT issued a correction to its story on Mamdani’s impact on the NYC primary electorate, and what I described yesterday as a “staggering” departure from the norm:

A correction was made on June 30, 2025: An earlier version of the chart in this article showing voters by age incorrectly identified the age group with the largest turnout. It was voters aged 30 to 34, not those aged 18 to 24.

Here’s the original chart:

And here’s the update:

To be clear, that turnout by younger voters (both 18-24 and 25-29 year-olds) is still eye-popping, both as a primary-over-primary increase and as an absolute. The 18-24 turnout is just a little less “staggering” than it looked yesterday.

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Young Voters Disillusioned

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Harvard Public Opinion Project 

“A national poll of America’s 18- to 29-year-olds released today by the Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School indicates that a majority of young Americans believe that our democracy is “in trouble” or “failing.” While most young Biden voters are satisfied with their vote, President Biden’s job approval (46%) has dropped 13 percentage points among young Americans since the IOP’s Spring 2021 Poll, including a 10-point drop among young Democrats and 14-point drop among Independents.”

Two tidbits:

7. More than half of young Americans believe that the federal government is not doing enough to address climate change

  • A solid majority (55%) of young Americans believe the U.S. government is not doing enough to address climate change, including 68% of college graduates, 56% of college students, and 50% of those without a college degree. More than seven-in-ten (71%) Democrats don’t think the government is doing enough, compared to 27% of Republicans, and 56% of independents. Fourteen percent (14%) say that the government is doing “too much to address climate change,” while 12 percent think it is “just about the right amount.”

9. By a margin of more than 2-to-1, young Americans value compromise over confrontation

  • A plurality across every major subgroup measured preferred that “Elected officials meet in the middle –– at the expense of my preferred policy priorities,” compared to “Elected officials pursue my preferred policy priorities –– at the expense of compromise.
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