Category Archives: primaries

“Virginia’s Republican Slate Picked by Tiny Sliver”

WaPo editorial:

MORE THAN a quarter of Virginia’s electorate considers itself Republican, which translates to almost 1 million voters. Of that number, about 8,000 — less than 1 percent — showed up at the party’s convention in Richmond over the weekend to choose the GOP candidates in this November’s races for governor, lieutenant governor and attorney general.

That, in addition to the party’s overall rightward tilt, helps explain how, in one of the nation’s most centrist states, Republicans came to choose a slate of hard-right conservatives.

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“Jungle Primary Angst for California Democratic Consultants | Shop Talk”

Verrrrrry interesting:

The fallout in the consulting world from two obscure local races continues to reverberate in the Golden State political world. At issue is the involvement of Democratic consultants in two 2012 Democrat-vs.-Democrat California Assembly general-election campaigns.

Two union-backed Democratic incumbents lost re-election to Democratic challengers who were supported by business groups that sent out anti-union mail. Irate union groups and high-level California Democrats began to look into who was behind the mailers.

The Sacramento Bee reports that Steve Glazer, a 2010 campaign aide to Democratic Gov. Jerry Brown, was involved in the anti-incumbent efforts as a consultant to the state Chamber of Commerce.

In March, CQ Roll Call first reported that this digging resulted in the breakup of the Mack|Crounse Group, a nationally prominent Democratic direct mail firm.

In an email to the Bee, Glazer defended his participation in the effort, further exhibiting the new world order of California politics.

“The party and labor used to hand pick candidates,” Dan Morain of The Bee writes. “The top-two primary system alters that equation.”

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“Marco Rubio gets Florida Legislature to eliminate early primary in 2016″

Miami Herald: “U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio persuaded state lawmakers to make a last-minute change eliminating Florida’s early presidential primary – a race in which the Republican could be on the ballot.”

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What Do You Get When Two Candidates from the Same Party Who are Virtually Indistinguishable Run in Round Two of a Nonpartisan Primary?

Exactly what you’d expect—trumped up and exaggerated ethics charges.

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“Bloomberg calls for nonpartisan elections”

Newsday reports.

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“Primary process splits GOP”

Gannett: “South Carolina Republicans who want to block Democrats from voting in GOP primaries have been unable to persuade state lawmakers to change election law, and they’re stalled in federal court.Now they’re turning to party rules, trying to line up enough delegates to make a big switch in GOP practice: Picking nominees through a vote of activists at a state convention in 2014 instead of through the current open primary in which anyone can vote.”

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“Can California’s New Primary Reduce Polarization? Maybe Not.”

Guest post at The Monkey Cage from Doug Ahler, Jack Citrin, and Gabriel Lenz.  Their conclusion: The open primary isn’t producing more moderate candidates because voters can’t tell if candidates are moderates or extreme:

For advocates of the reform, the results of this survey experiment are disappointing. If the open ballot did indeed help moderate candidates, they should have won more votes in the open-ballot condition than in the closed-ballot condition. But as shown in the scatterplot below, we find no such evidence: Moderate candidates for the House of Representatives fared no better under the top-two primary than they would have in closed party primaries.

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Steve Peace Accuses Richard Winger of “Intentionally or Naively” Supporting the Two-Party Duopoly

Check out the comments to Richard’s piece on California’s top two primary.

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Will Democrats Support a Tea Party Primary Opponent Against Mitch McConnell?

Could be.

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9th Circuit Sets Feb. 13 Hearing in Top Two Primary Appeal

See here.

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“U.S. House Republicans Who Supported the ‘Cliff Deal’ Were Most Likely to Come from States with Closed Primaries”

Ballot Access News reports.

Mark Paul: “That doesn’t count as definitive evidence, but it’s a reminder that we are still waiting for the [top two primary] reformers to show us any evidence that the changes they pimped have had any benefit at all.”

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“GOP scrambles to fix its primary problem”

Politico: “The disastrous 2012 election and embarrassing fiscal cliff standoff has brought forth one principal conclusion from establishment Republicans: They have a primary problem. The intra-party contests, or threat thereof, have become the original sin that explains many of the party’s woes in the minds of GOP leaders. It’s the primaries that push their presidential nominees far to the right (see “self-deportation” and “47 percent”); produce lackluster Senate candidates (Todd Akin has almost become a one-word shorthand); and, as seen most vividly in the last two weeks, dissuade scores of gerrymandered House members from face-saving compromise while politically emasculating their speaker.”

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“All Bark, No Bite: How California’s Top-Two Primary System Reinforces the Status Quo”

Nathan Yu has this blog post at State of Elections.

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But What of the Rick Parry (with an “A”) Voters?

Iowa governor wants to kill the Ames straw poll.

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“California’s Post-Partisan Experiment”

Bloomberg View: “Uprooting intense partisanship in Washington would be easier if fewer legislators represented safe, ideologically homogenous districts. Or so reformers have long maintained. Now, with the final results in from legislative races in California, that thesis will get a real-world test.  California conducted two important election experiments this year. It switched from a system of traditional party primaries to one in which the top two candidates move on to the general election regardless of their party affiliations. In addition, it took redistricting powers out of the state legislature and invested them in a nonpartisan citizens commission.”

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“Calif. election law creates competition, less predictability”

John Myers’ video report.

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PPIC Assesses California Election Reforms in Light of Tuesday’s Results

Here.

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“New Report Analyzes the Effect of Top Two in Washington State”

FairVote analysis.

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“‘Top-2’ primary is like candy — offers quick satisfaction but ultimately rots teeth”

See this oped from some LWV folks.

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“California’s top-two voting system changes campaigns, but will it alter governance?”

Important SacBee report.

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“2013 New York Primary Voting Requires Any Party Changes by Oct. 12″

NYT reports.

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Supreme Court Declines to Hear 8th Circuit Judicial Speech Case, WA Top-Two Primary Case

Cert. denials in Wersal, Washington State Grange II.  Mild surprise on first, not on second.

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“New Rules Upend House Re-Election Races in California”

 NYT on the politics of the top two primary.

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“Test-driving California’s Election Reforms”

PPIC has issued this report by Eric McGee and Daniel Krimm.  Here is the summary:

In the June 2012 primary, California tested two important electoral changes: new legislative and congressional districts drawn by an independent citizens commission and a “top two” primary system. The results suggest the reforms produced some changes—in particular, more open seats and more competition. However, there was also a great deal of continuity with recent elections: most candidates endorsed by a major party and all incumbents are advancing to the fall election and partisan outcomes were broadly in line with what might have been expected under the old primary system. Over time, the reforms may produce more radical change, but the first step on the road of reform has been a small one.

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“Primaries Decide Statehouses as Arizona Weighs Top-2 Plan”

Bloomberg reports.

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Arizona Supreme Court Rejects Challenge to Top-Two Primary Proposal Appearing on Ballot

See this order.

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“The Tea Party’s Enemy No. 1; Benjamin Ginsberg, Bush’s lawyer in the 2000 recount, has orchestrated a major power grab for Romney”

The Tablet reports.

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“Over Loud Boos, Romney Supporters Pass New Rules”

NYT’s “The Caucus” blog: ” Mitt Romney’s supporters passed new rules governing future primaries over the loud boos of Ron Paul supporters and other conservative activists who had objected to what they said was a power grab by the party’s establishment leaders.”

Don’t miss the picture accompanying the article.

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“Deal Will Likely Prevent Floor Fight at Republican National Convention”

ABC News: “A compromise on Republican Party rules will likely prevent a convention floor fight on Tuesday. Republican National Committeeman James Bopp, who had led a movement to oppose a new delegate rule on the convention floor, confirms to ABC News that he has agreed to a deal on compromise language.”

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“Top Romney Lawyer Under Attack for Proposed GOP Rules Change”

BLT: “Patton Boggs partner Benjamin Ginsberg is facing a growing storm of criticism from Republican delegates who say he pushed through a rules change that would help Mitt Romney if the presumptive GOP nominee ousts President Barack Obama and seeks reelection.”

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“Romney Rules Changes Could Spark GOP Convention Floor Fight”

Fascinating Buzzfeed report,which begins: “Frustration over changes to the Republican Party’s rules pushed through by the Romney Campaign on Friday may lead to a fight on the floor of the Republican National Convention on Monday. The Convention Committee on Rules took a number of steps on Friday to weaken the power of state conventions and state parties, while consolidating the power of presidential candidates in the nominating process. Some of the changes — to require that delegations from statewide caucuses and primaries to the convention adhere to the will of voters — weakened the hand of insurgent-type candidates but have been well received by the committee. But a change allowing presidential candidates the right to vet their own delegates to the national convention has many state party officials up in arms — and they are planning to bring it to the convention floor.”

More from the Washington Times.

(h/t Rob Richie)

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“Republicans Plot Assault On Iowa Caucuses On Military Voter Issue”

Fascinating BuzzFeed report. And I’ve long agreed that military disenfranchisement and other issues are a reason to kill the caucuses.

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“All Politics is National”

David Schleicher has written this piece for The Atlantic.  A taste: “Elmendorf and I have come up with a few ideas. Ballots could designate which party is in control of the state legislature, allowing voters to more easily decide based on policies and performance. States could mandate that ballots list candidates as, say, ‘Massachusetts Republicans,’ rather than just as ‘Republicans,’allowing voters to more easily disassociate the state and national parties. Voter registration rules could be relaxed to allow separate membership in parties for state and national elections. More radically, states could ban national parties from contesting local elections, allowing local parties to develop, although this would face serious constitutional challenges.”

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“Governor Brewer won’t oppose ‘top two primary’ initative”

The latest from Arizona.

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“Date Blamed for Low Vote in [New York] Primaries”

And really, if you read the NY Times article, the MOVE Act is apparently being blamed for the date change, which is being blamed for 5% turnout on Tuesday — less than the 7% turnout for New York’s presidential primary.

Make no mistake: whatever the cause, the solution has to involve efforts to better inform voters, rather than critique of the decision to schedule elections so that servicemembers can effectively participate.

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“Top Two in California Primaries, June 2012: By the Numbers: High Rates of Invalid Ballots; Perverse Outcomes; Major Parties Dominate”

FairVote has issued this press release.

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“California’s election reform flops”

Joe Mathews wants California to be more like Wisconsin in its politics. Really.

And anyone who thought top two and citizen redistricting would fundamentally transform California had expectations which were way too high.

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“15 races are still unresolved after Tuesday’s primary”

The LA Times offers this report, with the subhead: “In most of the undecided candidate contests, it’s not yet clear who finished second — a crucial position in the state’s new ‘top-two’ elections system.”

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“Vargas picks opponent in race for Congress”

Must-read San Diego Union-Tribune article on gaming the top-two primary: “Democratic state Sen. Juan Vargas used some of the $630,000 he spent running for Congress in the primary election on an unusual but ultimately fruitful cause — direct mailers promoting a Republican rival, his preferred opponent in November. Vargas finished with 45 percent of the vote, according to unofficial results of Tuesday’s primary. Republican Michael Crimmins had 20 percent and former Democratic legislator Denise Moreno Ducheny had 15 percent.”

UPDATE: Richard Winger provides some important context.

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“California’s New Electoral Reforms: How Did They Work?”

PPIC considers.

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“Few centrists advance in California’s new primary system”

The LA Times reports.

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“California’s Nonpartisan Primary Shows Independents to Be in Short Supply”

Interesting NYT analysis.

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Two from Winger on Top Two

See How California’s Top-Two Open Primary Shrinks Voter Choice in Congressional Races in November and Independent and Minor Party Candidates Fare Poorly in California Top-Two Open Primary.

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“California primary results: GOP catches a ‘top-two’ break”

WaPo: “House Republicans got a big break under California’s new primary system Tuesday, after Democrats failed to get a candidate into the general election for Rep. Gary Miller’s (R-Calif.) swing district.”

See also New Map, New Rules Shake Up California Primaries.

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“Californians to test new primary system”

The LA Times reports.  Off to vote in a few minutes.

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“Nonpartisan Primaries Face Test in California”

NYT: “This year will be the first test of a new kind of election aimed at breaking the partisan gridlock that has seized Congress and state legislatures all over the country. When the change was presented to California voters by a ballot initiative in 2010, advocates said it would usher in a new era that embraced politicians who would be more pragmatic than ideological.”

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“California’s minor parties facing extinction under new voting system”

Mercury News: “They’ve been a colorful part of California’s political landscape for decades — Greens, Libertarians, American Independents and members of the Peace and Freedom Party. But after Tuesday’s election, most of them will be all but invisible — and perhaps on their way to extinction.”

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CA Support for Top Two Primary

From the new PPIC poll:

Independents More Likely To Support Top-two Primary

Californians will experience a big change this primary election with the advent of the top-two system, approved by voters in 2010. All voters now get a single ballot listing every candidate for their legislative and congressional districts. The two candidates receiving the most votes—regardless of party—will advance to the general election. Asked today about the top-two system, a plurality of likely voters (43%) say it is a good thing for California elections, while 22 percent see it as a bad thing and 27 percent say it makes no difference.

Proponents of this primary reform have argued that it will pave the way for more moderate and independent candidates to succeed. Today, independents are more likely to say the new system is a good thing (49%) than Democrats (43%) or Republicans (39%) are. And while 67 percent of likely voters view the top-two primary as at least somewhat important, independents (41%) are more likely than Republicans (31%) or Democrats (32%) to say it is very important.

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New CRS Report on Presidential Nominating Process

The presidential nominating process and the national party conventions, 2012: Frequently asked questions (May 14)

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Americans Elect Admits Its Selection Process Has Failed; New Procedures Coming

The following press release arrived via email:

A Statement by Americans Elect CEO Kahlil Byrd

12:01 A.M., MAY 15, 2012 -  Over the past two years, Americans Elect has focused on achieving three clear goals:

·      Gaining nationwide ballot access for a third presidential ticket to compete in the 2012 race;
·      Holding the first ever nonpartisan secure national online primary at AmericansElect.org; and
·      Fielding a credible, balanced, unaffiliated ticket for the 2012 presidential race.

Through the efforts of thousands of staffers, volunteers, and leadership, Americans Elect has achieved every stated operational goal. Despite these efforts, as of today, no candidate has reached the national support threshold required to enter the “Americans Elect Online Convention” this June.  (Read a detailed summary of the AE process here and the full rules here.)

Because of this, under the rules that AE delegates ratified, the primary process would end today. There is, however, an almost universal desire among delegates, leadership and millions of Americans who have supported AE to see a credible candidate emerge from this process.

Every step of the way, AE has conferred with its community before making major decisions. We will do the same this week before determining next steps for the immediate future. AE will announce the results of these conversations on Thursday, May 17.

As always, we thank everyone who has participated in this effort and will honor the work, efforts and trust so many people have placed in Americans Elect.

###

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