Category Archives: Supreme Court

“High Turnout Rates Are Cause to Celebrate, Not Gut, the Voting Rights Act”

David Gans:

Sometime before the end of June, the Supreme Court will decide Shelby County v. Holder, a constitutional challenge to the preclearance provision of the Voting Rights Act, one of the Act’s most important guarantees against racial discrimination in voting.  Shelby County has argued that the Act is unnecessary and outdated and has urged the Supreme Court to hold it unconstitutional on that basis.  With the Court’s decision looming, a number of recent commentators have suggested that, in light of recent voter turnout data, the Voting Rights Act is no longer needed.  They are wrong.

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Texas Redistricting Court Sets Hearing to Consider Next Steps in Case

Read the order here.  Much depends upon whether Section 5 remains valid once the Supreme Court decides the Shelby County case.

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“The Good News About Race and Voting”

Andrew Kohut in WSJ:

In the next several weeks the Supreme Court is expected to rule on the constitutionality of the requirement that several states, mostly in the South, get “pre-clearance” from the Justice Department before they make any changes to their election laws. The requirement was part of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, which was an emergency measure to outlaw the profound racial discrimination that was disenfranchising African-Americans.

The justices won’t necessarily find a rationale for their decision based on current election polling data. Nevertheless, the experience of voters in recent elections will no doubt be illuminating to the justices, and to all Americans who are concerned with voting rights.

In the past three presidential elections, very few Americans reported having problems or difficulties voting according to Pew Research Center surveys. In its Nov. 8-12 poll in 2012, just 4% of whites answered yes to the question: “Did you have any problems or difficulties voting this year, or not.” Only 2% of African-Americans responded affirmatively.

 

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Nice Touch

Chief Justice Roberts cites Justice Kagan’s and Justice Breyer’s academic writings against them in his dissent in today’s important statutory interpretation opinion on Chevron deference, Arlington v. FCCSee page 3 of the dissent (p. 29 of pdf).

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Supreme Court Summarily Affirms in Mississippi Redistricting Case

Here is the order list and here’s the background from Justin Levitt’s All About Redistricting site.

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“Stevens: Rationale for Bush v. Gore was ‘unacceptable’; The former Supreme Court justice speaks out on John Roberts and the case that decided the 2000 election.”

Salon reports (via How Appealing).

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“Section 5 as Simulacrum”

Justin Levitt has posted this draft on SSRN (Yale Law Journal Online).  Here is the abstract:

In addition to its remarkable substantive impact, Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act is a provision of enormous expressive and historical importance. But the extent to which the statute is also a symbol has some unrecognized downsides. In the current Shelby County litigation, reviewing a challenge to section 5, much of the argument seems to revolve around a simulacrum of section 5, rather than the statute itself. This simulacrum is much like an editorial cartoonist’s rendering of a political figure, in which particular features take on exaggerated salience. Many elements of the simulacrum have at least the ring of truth, which helps to explain the staying power of the image. But though the cartoon version of the preclearance regime resembles the original, the exaggerated features—including preconceived notions of the obsolescence of the regime’s primary operating system, the extent to which it fosters racial essentialism, and its place within our federalist structure—distort rather than clarify our understanding of the legality of the portions of the Voting Rights Act at issue. This short Essay investigates some of the more striking elements of the section 5 simulacrum, contrasting the cartoon vision of section 5 with the more fully contextualized operation of the actual statute.

 

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Goldfeder and Perez on Two Pending SCOTUS Voting Cases

Here.

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“The Dignity of the South”

Joey Fishkin has posted this draft on SSRN (Yale L.J. Online).  Here is the abstract:

The plaintiffs in Shelby County v. Holder argue that section 5 of the Voting Rights Act should be struck down because it offends the “equal dignity” of the covered states — an argument the Court appeared to credit in its last brush with section 5 in NAMUDNO. This Essay, written in advance of the decision in Shelby County, critically examines this equal dignity of the states argument and situates it in a larger context. Americans have been fighting for 150 years, since the Civil War and Reconstruction, about the structural implications of the events of 1861–70 for the sovereignty, dignity, and equality of the states — and of the Southern states in particular. The equal dignity of the states argument thus stakes a claim on the meaning of the Civil War and Reconstruction in American historical memory, a claim whose implications are problematic and profound,

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Gans Responds to Clegg on African-American Voter Turnout and the Shelby County Case

Here.

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DOJ, Others Urges Affirmance in Texas Voter ID Case Before Supreme Court

The Lawyers’ Committee has posted the Supreme Court documents:

Supreme Court Documents:

Click here for Texas’ Jurisdictional Statement.

Click here for the Lawyers’ Committee’s Motion to Affirm.

Click here for the Justice Department’s Motion to Affirm.

Click here for another intervenor’s Motion to Affirm.

 

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Denniston on GOP’s Opening Brief in SCOTUS Campaign Finance Case, McCutcheon

Here.

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“Supreme Court to Make Crucial Rulings on Race”

Richard Wolf reports for USA Today on Shelby County and Fisher.

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Bob Bauer on Briffault, Michael McConnell, Justice O’Connor

Bauer on Briffault on coordination:

Maybe the issue is indeed one of appearances, but appearances, the “look” of things, can’t carry the work of revising the standard of constitutionally protected “independence.” Professor Briffault sets as his goal the higher ambition of “maintain[ing] the integrity of the contribution/expenditure distinction that has been a foundational part of our campaign finance law for nearly four decades.” His proposal certainly helps expose the futility of the distinction but is very unlikely to save it.

Bauer on McConnell on CU:

   However one views his reform program, Professor McConnell is right on two key points of his defense of Citizens United. The decision in CU is shoddy work, and neither that decision nor any other the Court has issued in recent years has helped shore up a campaign finance doctrine built on the distinction between contributions and expenditures.

Bauer on Justice O’Connor on Bush v. Gore:

 In Bush v. Gore, Justice O’Connor appears to have concluded that whatever moved the majority to intervene in the Florida recount cost too much in backlash against the Court. Caperton has not stirred up the same volume and intensity of complaint. In fact, many critics enraged by Bush v. Gore have an understandable soft spot for Caperton, taking it to be a step in the right direction—away from Buckley’s ill-fated contribution/expenditure distinction. But, on the fundamental question of how the Court makes election law, the two cases are much alike, even if Justice O’Connor has second thoughts only about one of them.

 

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“RNC urges Supreme Court to strike campaign-finance limits”

The Hill on McCutcheon:

The Republican National Committee urged the Supreme Court on Tuesday to strike down certain limits on campaign contributions, saying they’re a violation of the First Amendment.

The RNC filed its opening brief in a case challenging limits on the total amount one person can donate in a single election cycle. The RNC says the limits are unconstitutional.

Interestingly at pages 10-11 the brief quotes Bob Bauer’s post on McCutcheon from his resurrected blog.

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“No, Democrats Did Not Just Want to ‘Count All the Votes’ in the 2000 Election”

Megan McArdle blogs.

She’s right.  I cover this issue in Chapter 1 of The Voting Wars.

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“Justice O’Connor Regrets”

Jeffrey Toobin blogs.

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“The DIG Rule and the Rule of Four Reconsidered’

Mike Dorf blogs.

I wrote about this issue last week.

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“On Bush v. Gore, O’Connor Belatedly Regrets”

Jost on Justice.

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Liptak on Lehrer Discussing SOC on BvG

Listen.

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“Constitution Check: Was the court wrong in agreeing to decide and in its ruling in Bush v. Gore?”

Lyle Denniston reflects.

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“Who’s Sorry Now?”

Linda Greenhouse on the Justice O’Connor BvG comments.

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“Sandra Day O’Connor: H.W. Bush Victory Was ‘Vital for the Court’; An old letter suggests she too once saw the Supreme Court as a political body.”

Linda Hirshman writes for TNR.

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Prop 8 and the Possible DIG: Evidence From This Week That It’s Possible.

On March 28, I posted on the possibility that the Court in the Prop 8 case might dismiss the case as improvidently granted (or “DIG”) the case, thereby allowing the lower court ruling barring enforcement of Prop. 8 to stand, but not setting any precedent on the gay marriage issue.  This would allow likely swing Justice Kennedy to avoid the issue, at least for a while.  But I noted a catch:

  The issue arises because it takes only four Justices to hear the case but five to reach a majority on the merits.  Tom [Goldstein] writes:

If Justice Kennedy did decline to vote on the merits, then the Ninth Circuit’s judgment would be affirmed.  Either the judgment would formally be affirmed by an equally divided court, or he would nominally cast a vote to “affirm” that would produce the same result – see, for example, Justice Stevens’s 1983 opinion concurring in the judgment in Connecticut v. Johnson.

But whether a Justice can decline to decide a case on the ground that it should be dismissed, when no development has occurred since certiorari has been granted, is a difficult and debated question in the Court.  See, e.g., Richard L. Revesz & Pamela S. Karlan, Nonmajority Rules and the Supreme Court, 136 U. Pa. L. Rev. 1067 (1987-1998), and Michael E. Solimine & Rafael Gely, The Supreme Court and the DIG:  An Empirical and Institutional Analysis, 2005 Wis. L. Rev. 1421 (2005).  (Ironically, one of the most relevant authorities is an early predecessor to gay rights litigation, New York v. Uplinger.)  If Justices were perfectly free to do so, then in theory the Court’s “rule of four” – that four members of the Court can vote to grant certiorari – would be in jeopardy:  five Justices who did not grant certiorari could simply refuse to decide the case.  On the other hand, a Justice could reserve the power not to decide the merits for extraordinary cases.

So the thinking is we would not have four Justices voting against a DIG.  Yet that’s precisely what happened this week in Boyer. v. Louisiana, a case involving a speedy trial.  As Rory Little explains, “four of the [Justices] dissented from the [DIG] order at length (Justice Sotomayor, joined by Justices Ginsburg, Breyer, and Kagan), while another three (Justice Alito concurring in the order, joined by Justices Scalia and Thomas) expressed their supportive rationale…”

So it could certainly happen again in the Prop. 8 case, though I would expect that the dissenters there would be Jusices Scalia, Alito, Thomas [corrected], and possibly the Chief.

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“How Sandra Day O’Connor’s Vote In Bush v. Gore Helped Unravel Her Own Legacy”

TPM reports.

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“LANDMARK FILM DIGITAL RELEASE TO COINCIDE WITH U.S. SUPREME COURT DECISION”

The following press release arrived via email:

New York, N.Y.–“Home of the Brave,” a powerful, award-winning 2004 documentary about murdered civil rights activist Viola Liuzzo will be released digitally as the U.S. Supreme Court considers overturning critical aspects of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, the ground-breaking legislation that outlaws discriminatory voting practices. SundanceNow and New Video have scheduled widespread digital distribution with dates that overlap with this significant Supreme Court decision being made in June.

“The most potent weapon in fighting discrimination at the ballot box is before the Supreme Court in a case that weighs the nation’s enormous progress in civil rights against the need to continue to protect minority voters,” says Stockard Channing, narrator of “Home of the Brave.” “Viola Liuzzo’s story needs to be part of America’s social consciousness for many reasons, but is especially critical now, as the Supreme Court justices make their decision this June.”
The lawsuit from Shelby County, Ala. addresses Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act and says that federal oversight of elections is no longer needed. Section 5 requires 16 states with a history of racial discrimination in voting, primarily in the South, to clear election-related changes with the federal government. Section 5 is widely regarded as the most effective provision of the country’s most important civil rights law.
“She wanted equal rights for everyone, no matter what the cost!”  14-year-old Tommy Liuzzo, 1965

 

Viola Liuzzo
Liuzzo, the 39-year-old wife of a Detroit Teamster and mother of five, joined thousands of civil rights protesters in Selma, Ala. for the Voting Rights March in 1965, only to be gunned down in a drive-by shooting on a deserted highway as she shuttled marchers back and forth to the airport.  The murderers were members of the Ku Klux Klan, one of whom, Gary Thomas Rowe, was an FBI informant.  Despite a slanderous investigation headed by J. Edgar Hoover, Liuzzo’s death – the only white woman killed during this long struggle – became the catalyst for President Lyndon Johnson’s push to pass the Voting Rights Act of 1965.
Many Americans have never heard Liuzzo’s name or story, making “Home of the Brave” extremely timely and relevant. Amazon Instant Video, PlayStation, Xbox Video, Vudu, YouTube Rentals and SundanceNow will release “Home of the Brave” on May 7. The documentary’s release will expand to include Netflix, SnagFilms and Hulu on June 7. The educational distributor Bullfrog Films, Inc., a long-time advocate for the film, is actively promoting the documentary to their broad list of libraries and universities.
“The entire struggle of that era was about the Voting Rights Acts, says Mary Lilleboe, daughter of Viola Liuzzo. “American citizens have and had the Constitutional right to vote. All the bloodshed, tears and lives lost were in a struggle to get the federal government to ensure this right was not tampered with by anyone in any way. This movie is about the struggle to exercise our right, the cost to guarantee it and the people who paid the price. The very attempt to repeal this legislation forewarns of the danger in doing so and tears at the hearts of those who lived through it.”

“Home of the Brave” premiered in competition at Sundance in 2004. The film was distributed theatrically by Emerging Pictures and on television by Court TV.  Image Entertainment handled DVD sales and Bullfrog Films distributes to the educational market, including schools and museums.  The critically acclaimed documentary was short-listed for the 2005 Academy Awards. The film won the Chicago International Film Festival Silver Lion Award as well as the Social Justice Award at the Santa Barbara International Film Festival. It also received a Writer’s Guild nomination for Best Documentary Screenplay, Best Documentary Award at the Port Townsend Film Festival, Best Feature Documentary nomination for the 2004 International Documentary Association Awards, the Joan Phillips-Sandy Award for excellent film with social message in Maine and 1st runner-up for the Audience Choice at the Cleveland International Film Festival.

TRAILER: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0389009/
IMAGES: https://plus.google.com/photos/102122638710638255846/albums/5872258597343161121?banner=pwa

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“What an ‘Originalist’ Would Understand ‘Corruption’ to Mean: The 2013 Jorde Lecture”

Larry Lessig has posted this draft on SSRN (forthcoming California Law Review).  Here is the abstract:

How we understand the “corruption” of Congress goes a long way to showing why, and how that “corruption” can be remedied. In this paper, Professor Lessig describes the originalist roots to his conception of “dependence corruption,” and shows why that conception is neither a version of “equality” nor inconsistent with modern First Amendment jurisprudence.

I am looking forward to reading this, as it continues a conversation on “dependence corruption” and political equality begun with my Harvard Law Review book review of Larry’s book, Republic, Lost, followed by Larry’s reply at the Harvard Law Review Forum, and continued with my Response to be published in the Election Law Journal.

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“O’Connor questions court’s decision to take Bush v. Gore”

Chicago Tribune:

Looking back, O’Connor said, she isn’t sure the high court should have taken the case.

“It took the case and decided it at a time when it was still a big election issue,” O’Connor said during a talk Friday with the Tribune editorial board. “Maybe the court should have said, ‘We’re not going to take it, goodbye.’”

The case, she said, “stirred up the public” and “gave the court a less-than-perfect reputation.”

“Obviously the court did reach a decision and thought it had to reach a decision,” she said. “It turned out the election authorities in Florida hadn’t done a real good job there and kind of messed it up. And probably the Supreme Court added to the problem at the end of the day.”

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“More Bailouts of Covered Jurisdictions Moving Forward as Supreme Court Weighs Voting Rights Act”

CLC: “This week more jurisdictions moved forward with bailouts from the preclearance provisions of the Voting Rights Act as the Supreme Court weighs a challenge to the constitutionality of those provisions.  Yesterday, a three-judge court in Washington, DC approved a final consent decree exempting the City of Wheatland, California from the Act’s preclearance provisions.  On the same day, the Justice Department announced that it had reached agreement on a bailout with the city of Falls Church, Virginia (along with the Falls Church City Public School District) and submitted a proposed consent decree for approval to a three-judge court in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia.”

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“Scalia’s limited understanding of the Voting Rights Act”

Gary May has written this WaPo oped.  It begins: “In the debate over the future of the Voting Rights Act , it sometimes becomes apparent that certain members of the Supreme Court are either oblivious to our nation’s recent history or willfully ignore it. Justice Antonin Scalia made this abundantly clear in his comments during the Feb. 27 oral argument in Shelby County v. Holder , statements that he repeated in a speech on April 15.”

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“Constitutional Interpretation and Congressional Overrides: Changing Trends in Court-Congress Relations”

Ryan Emenaker has posted this draft on SSRN. Here is the abstract:

National policy is shaped through frequent interaction between the Court and Congress. The Court devotes the largest portion of its work to applying and interpreting congressional statutes. Congress considers these interpretations in future legislation. The Court’s use of judicial review to nullify acts of Congress is one of the most contentious aspects of this relationship. However, the interaction that occurs after judicial review is often ignored. When trying to understand Court-Congress relations, it is important to note Congress often overrides Court decisions. Historically the Court rarely rules against Congress. From 1791-2010 the Court nullified just 167 acts of Congress — an average of less than one-a-year. However, this type of interaction has rapidly increased. Nearly 60 percent of all federal laws struck down have occurred since 1960. The Rehnquist Court alone is responsible for nearly 25 percent of all nullified federal laws. Understandably, the rapid acceleration in judicial activity has renewed fears of an imperial judiciary. These fears are partly based in the incorrect assumption that policy development ends with judicial review. The results of this study indicate that as the Court has become more active in striking down congressional acts, Congress has increasingly resorted to overriding these decisions. This study also indicates that increased instances of judicial review suggest changing trends in Court- ongress relations rather than signifying judicial finality.

As I told Professor Emenaker, he’s using the term “override” differently than both Bill Eskridge and I do in our work on overrides.  When Congress responds to a constitutional holding of the Supreme Court by passing a statute which does not amend the Constitution, I would not count that as an override.

I just received reprints of my piece on statutory overrrides, End of the Dialogue? Political Polarization, the Supreme Court, and Congress, 86 Southern California Law Review 205 (2013).

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“Scalia’s latest: Unethical or merely appalling?”

AFJ blogs on the Justice’s recent statements about the Voting Rights Act.

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“Did Scalia Tip His Hand In Major Voting Rights Case?”

@TPM reports.  My earlier coverage is here.

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“In Defense of Citizens United”

Judge/Professor Michael McConnell has posted this draft on SSRN (forthcoming Yale Law Journal).  Here is the abstract:

Citizens United v. FEC is one of the most reviled decisions of the Supreme Court in recent years. The President of the United States denounced it to the Justices’ faces at his 2011 State of the Union address. His 2008 opponent, John McCain, called it “the worst decision ever.” The Democratic Party is pledged to reverse it by constitutional amendment if necessary. Prominent newspapers attribute to it virtually every excess of the campaign finance system, whether or not the practices were authorized by the decision or would have been lawful even without it. It has become shorthand for corporate domination of politics. It has few defenders among legal scholars. I believe it is time for a more balanced evaluation.

 

 

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Justice Scalia, Commenting on Pending Case, Calls Voting Rights Act “Racial Preferment”

Jess Bravin:

Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia told university students that key provisions of the Voting Rights Act had evolved from an emergency response to racial discrimination in 1965 to an “embedded” form of “racial preferment” that would likely continue indefinitely unless the court acts to end them.

Justice Scalia, speaking Monday night at the University of California Washington Center, elaborated on remarks he made in February during Supreme Court arguments over the act’s Section 5, which requires states and localities that historically discriminated against minority voters to obtain federal approval to change election procedures.

Section 5 functions as a racial entitlement because the federal government doesn’t take a similar interest in protecting the voting rights of white people from racial discrimination, Justice Scalia said.

The remarks are not much different from what Justice Scalia said at oral argument in the Shelby County case, but I find it pretty remarkable that he’d make these comments off the bench while Shelby County remains pending.

UPDATE: It gets worse, as Justice Scalia appears to tip his hand on how he’s voting in an upcoming case.

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“The Voting Rights Act Becomes More Vital By the Day”

Andrew Cohen blogs.

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“Section 5 Discriminates Against Texas”

Texas SG Greg Abbott has written this oped.

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“Supreme Court rejects call to change voting district head counts”

LA Times on Lepak.

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“Dear Justice Kennedy: Why the courts, not lawmakers, will deliver gay marriage”

Nick Stephanopoulos for Slate: “Although it’s superficially appealing, the argument for judicial deference is wrong. The ability of gay rights groups to win ordinary political battles is actually quite limited. Much more common than the imposition of pro-gay policies on a disapproving majority is the reverse scenario: the failure to enact such policies even when they’re supported by a popular majority. Judicial intervention may therefore be necessary because, regrettably, this is not an area in which the political process can be trusted.”

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Supreme Court, Without Noted Dissent, Denies Cert. in Lepak “One Person, One Vote” Case

The order list is here.

The petition garnered a lot of attention, including in a Sidebar column from Adam Liptak, no doubt it because it was backed by Edward Blum, who successfully brought the Fisher affirmative action case and Shelby County and NAMUDNO voting rights cases to the Court.

But I had been skeptical the Court would take the case, A ruling that jurisdictions could not count “all persons” for purposes of redistricting and must exclude non-citizens would have called into question thousands of districting plans across the country, and it was a theory which seemed to be in direct conflict with the constitutional text.

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“South Carolina’s ‘Evolutionary Process’”

Ellen Katz has written this important new article for Columbia Law Review’s Sidebar, the first in a series of essays on election law issues in the 2012 election.  From the introduction:

Undeniably, things have changed. Opportunities for minority political participation in places like South Carolina have evolved since Congress first enacted the VRA. Supporters of the VRA readily acknowledge as much but argue that this evolution is less developed, more fragile, and more dependent on section 5’s continued operation than South Carolina and others siding with the petitioners in Shelby County maintain.5 The pending case accordingly presents the Court with competing narratives, one of a problem solved and, hence, a statute that has run its course, and another depicting a vulnerable work in progress that requires the sustained attention the VRA provides.

There is, nevertheless, an additional narrative the Justices should consider when they evaluate how far places subject to the VRA’s regional provisions have evolved. This narrative posits that section 5 is far from obsolete and operates not only as a restraint on the ill-intentioned, but also as an affirmative tool of governance. On this account, one of the VRA’s most critical, albeit least appreciated, functions is the way in which it helps public officials navigate complex contemporary questions concerning equality of opportunity in the political process.6
A good example of the VRA’s role in this regard is found in the recent dispute over voter identification (ID) in South Carolina. The “evolutionary process”7 through which voter ID came to be approved in South Carolina shows section 5 operating not only as a constraint, but also as a constructive mechanism for dispute resolution. In this capacity, section 5 helped produce a voter ID measure which, as one reviewing judge explained, “accomplishes South Carolina’s important objectives, while protecting every individual’s right to vote and . . . addressing the significant concerns” about the measure’s impact on minority voters.8

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Supreme Court Announces “No Cuts” Policy, Wristband Policy Modeled after Springsteen Concerts

In the wake of mischief on long lines at the Supreme Court in the gay marriage cases, including people such as Rob Reiner paying up to $6,000 to other people to stand in line to hold a place for Supreme Court oral argument, and reports that lawyers on the Supreme Court bar line not only paid line standers but brought their friends to cut in line in front of others who had waited all night for a seat at the oral argument in the DOMA case, the following press release was issued:

Chief Justice Roberts declared “Enough is Enough” and announced two new policies for high profile cases at the Supreme Court.

1. For members of the Supreme Court bar, the Court is adopting Rule 49.  Rule 49 is  the new “no cutsies” rule. Cuts are not allowed.  Anyone who cuts in line on the Supreme Court bar line will be sent to the Chief Justice’s office by the Supreme Court police for a stern talking-to. Parents of  line cutters may be called.

2. For others coming to line, under new Rule 50 Supreme Court police will distribute wristbands the evening before oral argument generally following procedures for the distribution of Bruce Springsteen floor admission.. The most junior Justice will choose a number by lot for the start of the lottery.  The first 50 people beginning with the chosen number will be allowed into the new “pit area” for Supreme Court oral arguments.  “I may be the boss of the Supreme Court, but sometimes we all have to learn something from ‘The Boss,’” the Chief Justice said.

The Court does not plan on changing its policy barring the use of cameras at argument.

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“High court poised to upend civil rights policies”

Hope Yen has written this extensive report for AP, which begins:

Has the nation lived down its history of racism and should the law become colorblind?

Addressing two pivotal legal issues, one on affirmative action and a second on voting rights, a divided Supreme Court is poised to answer those questions.

In one case, the issue is whether race preferences in university admissions undermine equal opportunity more than they promote the benefits of racial diversity. Just this past week, justices signaled their interest in scrutinizing affirmative action very intensely, expanding their review as well to a Michigan law passed by voters that bars “preferential treatment” to students based on race. Separately in a second case, the court must decide whether race relations — in the South, particularly — have improved to the point that federal laws protecting minority voting rights are no longer warranted.

The questions are apt as the United States closes in on a demographic tipping point, when nonwhites will become a majority of the nation’s population for the first time. That dramatic shift is expected to be reached within the next generation, and how the Supreme Court rules could go a long way in determining what civil rights and equality mean in an America long divided by race.

 

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Whose Fault is the Prop 8 Cert Grant? Ask Me in 2063

At the end of my post on Prop 8 yesterday, I asked: “So this raises the question: did the four most conservative Justices vote to hear Prop. 8 in the perhaps mistaken belief that Justice Kennedy would vote with them if he had to confront the issue?”

Today Adam Liptak delves in, but says we’ll have to wait 50 years for the answer.

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“Lepak v. City of Irving: Edward Blum’s Attack on Fair Representation”

David Gans blogs.

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The Prop 8 Case: Can You DIG It?

There’s been so much excellent stuff posted at SCOTUSBlog the last few days (well deserved winner of a Peabody), I wanted to highlight a post from Tom Goldstein that might have been lost in the rush.  It is on the question of the different ways that the Court to decline to decide the merits in the Prop 8 case.  Tom counts three: no standing to the opponents, sending it back to the Ninth Circuit to reconsider in light of the DOMA case (which at this point seems less likely if Justice Kennedy’s controlling opinion is about federalism rather than equal protection rights for same-sex couples), or dismiss the writ as improvidently granted or the equivalent of that.  The issue arises because it takes only four Justices to hear the case but five to reach a majority on the merits.  Tom writes:

If Justice Kennedy did decline to vote on the merits, then the Ninth Circuit’s judgment would be affirmed.  Either the judgment would formally be affirmed by an equally divided court, or he would nominally cast a vote to “affirm” that would produce the same result – see, for example, Justice Stevens’s 1983 opinion concurring in the judgment in Connecticut v. Johnson.

But whether a Justice can decline to decide a case on the ground that it should be dismissed, when no development has occurred since certiorari has been granted, is a difficult and debated question in the Court.  See, e.g., Richard L. Revesz & Pamela S. Karlan, Nonmajority Rules and the Supreme Court, 136 U. Pa. L. Rev. 1067 (1987-1998), and Michael E. Solimine & Rafael Gely, The Supreme Court and the DIG:  An Empirical and Institutional Analysis, 2005 Wis. L. Rev. 1421 (2005).  (Ironically, one of the most relevant authorities is an early predecessor to gay rights litigation, New York v. Uplinger.)  If Justices were perfectly free to do so, then in theory the Court’s “rule of four” – that four members of the Court can vote to grant certiorari – would be in jeopardy:  five Justices who did not grant certiorari could simply refuse to decide the case.  On the other hand, a Justice could reserve the power not to decide the merits for extraordinary cases.

One reason the issue doesn’t arise much is because Justices will vote on writs of certiorari strategically. One would not vote with three other Justices to hear a case if one believes that the 5 other Justices not voting to hear the case would decide the case adversely to your position.

So this raises the question: did the four most conservative Justices vote to hear Prop. 8 in the perhaps mistaken belief that Justice Kennedy would vote with them if he had to confront the issue?

 

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Lobbying as a Cause of Shift in Attitudes on Gay Rights in the U.S.?

Fascinating exchange from yesterday’s DOMA argument, relevant to the question whether gays and lesbians are discrete and insular minorities who may be entitled to have laws passed which discriminate against them subject to a heightened standard of review:

CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: I suppose the sea change has a lot to do with the political force and effectiveness of people representing, supporting your side of the case?
MS. KAPLAN: I disagree with that, Mr. Chief Justice, I think the sea change has to do, just as discussed was Bowers and Lawrence, was an understanding that there is no difference — there was fundamental difference that could justify this kind of categorical discrimination between gay couples and straight couples.
CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: You don’t doubt that the lobby supporting the enactment of same sex-marriage laws in different States is politically powerful, do you?
MS. KAPLAN: With respect to that category, that categorization of the term for purposes of heightened scrutiny, I would, Your Honor. I don’t -­
CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: Really?
MS. KAPLAN: Yes.
CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: As far as I can tell, political figures are falling over themselves to endorse your side of the case.
MS. KAPLAN: The fact of the matter is, Mr. Chief Justice, is that no other group in recent history has been subjected to popular referenda to take away rights that have already been given or exclude those rights, the way gay people have. And only two of those referenda have ever lost. One was in Arizona; it then passed a couple years later. One was in Minnesota where they already have a statute on the books that prohibits marriages between gay people. So I don’t think — and until 1990 gay people were not allowed to enter this country. So I don’t think that the political power of gay people today could possibly be seen within that framework, and
certainly is analogous — I think gay people are far weaker than the women were at the time of Frontiero.
CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: Well, but you just referred to a sea change in people’s understandings and values from 1996, when DOMA was enacted, and I’m just trying to see where that comes from, if not from the political effectiveness of — of groups on your side of the case.
\MS. KAPLAN: To flip the language of the House Report, Mr. Chief Justice, I think it comes from a moral understanding today that gay people are no different, and that gay married couples’ relationships are not significantly different from the relationships of straight married people. I don’t think -­
CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: I understand that. I am just trying to see how — where that that moral understanding came from, if not the political effectiveness of a particular group.
MS. KAPLAN: I — I think it came — is, again is very similar to the, what you saw between Bowers and Lawrence. I think it came to a societal understanding. I don’t believe that societal understanding came strictly through political power; and I don’t think that gay people today have political power as that -­this Court has used that term with — in connection with the heightened scrutiny analysis.
CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: Thank you, Ms. Kaplan.
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Blockbuster Sneak Peek: Anthony Kennedy’s Summer of Federalism

Let me begin with the caveat that it is always hazardous to predict what the Supreme Court is going to do from reports at oral argument (See, e.g., the health care case). That said, I want to explore what seems most likely to happen at this point with the Supreme Court’s term, and what it would mean.  My best guess today is that Justice Kennedy will be in slim majorities reaching the following results: the Court will not recognize a right to same sex marriage in the California Proposition 8 case, although the means of doing so will likely leave a lower court ruling enjoining California from enforcing Proposition 8 standing; that the Court will strike down section 3 of the Defense of Marriage Act as an unconstitutional affront to traditional state power to define and regulate marriage; that the Court will hold that the coverage formula of section 4 of the Voting Rights Act is an unconstitutional affront to state sovereignty, leaving open the possibility that the Congress could rework a new coverage formula more closely tied to current evidence of intentional racial discrimination in the sates (something Congress will never do); and the Court will not issue a far-reaching decision in the University of Texas affirmative action case, leaving open some issues to be addressed in future cases in future terms, such as the Michigan case the Court just agreed to hear.

If this is the end result of the term, parts will make conservatives mad (such as striking down DOMA, and making the federal government pay same sex benefits to those whose same-sex marriages are recognized by their state) and parts will make liberals mad (such as effectively striking down a crown jewel of the civil rights movement, and failing to go all the way and recognize a constitutional right to same-sex marriage).

Justice Kennedy will probably feel pretty good about a term like this, and in the past he hasn’t minded being alone, in the middle, frustrating his colleagues on the left and the right.  I think of his opinion in the partisan gerrymandering case of Veith v. Jubelirer, where his four conservative colleagues took the position that courts could not hear partisan gerrymandering claims (because they presented political questions with unmanageable judicial standards) and his four liberal colleagues offered a host of standards for reining in partisan gerrymandering, parading them in beauty pageant fashion for Justice Kennedy.  Justice Kennedy took the position that the cases could be heard, but so far no one had come up with any standard to police the constitutionality of such gerrymandering. It was a somewhat inscrutable opinion—keeping the issue open to percolate some more and saying plaintiffs can come to court with these claims which they would continue to lose, until Justice Kennedy found a standard he liked (he still hasn’t).

So Justice Kennedy is fine with 4-1-4 splits on the Court (although some things he might do on standing could bring along additional votes—the Chief, for example, might go along with a decision to find that Prop. 8 initiative proponents have no standing rather than write or join a fiery dissent extolling the virtues of traditional marriage).  The vision will be one of state’s rights, and defended in a kind of lofty language that treats the states as though they were people with feelings.  Justice Kennedy’s nation is one in which Congress and the executive must defer to the power of states in a variety of spheres, intruding only when necessary and the means proportional (Justice Kennedy might say something similar to this in the Arizona voting case, about Congress’s ability to specify that states must accept what the federal government thinks is enough to prove an individual’s citizenship entitling her to vote).

The question will be whether, if we get the summer of Federalism, the other Justices will want to weigh in on the merits of issues that are likely to return to the Court at a later date. A Kennedy opinion holding section 3 of DOMA a violation of states’ rights might be joined by four other Justices in full or in result, with a concurring opinion reaching the merits of the right to gay marriage. Justice Ginsburg and others may want to come out against “skim milk” marriages. The same may happen in the Prop. 8 case.  Even if the Court dismisses on standing grounds, or especially if the four liberal Justices and Kennedy join to dismiss the case as improvidently granted, it could well fall to Justice Scalia, Alito, or Thomas to write that fiery dissent extolling traditional marriage and rejecting a living Constitution and the evolution of norms of constitutional conduct.

In the Voting Rights Act case, Justice Kennedy would be joined by the conservatives in striking down the Act, and I am confident of a fiery dissent from the four liberal members.  The big question will be how far a VRA strike would go: would it open up the door to cases challenging section 2 of the Act, or section 203 (the language provisions), or portions of the Civil Rights Act?  Liberal justices may want to lay down a marker. Some of these questions might depend upon what the Court does in the affirmative action case, but the grant of cert  in the Michigan case suggests these issues are still going to kick around the Court for a while before the end of affirmative action.  If the Court rejects the University of Texas plan on race grounds, it would be the one major case where a constitutional right (here, the white applicant’s right to equal protection) which would trump the state’s right to decide on admission’s policy.

In the end, we’ll all be living in Justice Kennedy’s world. As we already are.

 

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“If Court Dismisses Case on California’s Ban, What Then?”

John Schwartz analyzes for the NYT Lede blog.

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“Gay-Marriage Coverage: A Media Shutout? Coverage of the issue may be overshadowing another important civil rights cause.”

Keli Goff:

I have been baffled by the fact that while the Supreme Court’s upcoming rulings on voting rights and affirmative action were relegated to a couple of days of nonintensive media coverage, coverage of the court’s upcoming rulings on same-sex marriage has been treated as the second coming of the Brown v. Board of Education case, which literally changed America for all Americans, as opposed to the second coming of Loving v. Virginia, which the gay-marriage case more closely resembles, and which ultimately changed the lives of some Americans: those pursuing interracial relationships.

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