The NYT headline is “If Everyone Had Voted, Harris Still Would Have Lost.” 

Which, of course, is impossible to know, unless you assume that demographics is inevitably destiny. 

But the broader point of the outcome of this new Pew study is one a few of us have been noting for a while: Trump had/has significant appeal among a set of voters less likely to vote frequently (including a larger component of racial and ethnic minorities than his previous runs).  That likely means that efforts to increase turnout may favor Republicans, at least in some areas. 

And because less frequent voters are hardest hit by new barriers, I’ve wondered quite a bit whether we’ll start to see the fact of Trump’s appeal to less frequent voters reflected in shifting incentives for election administration, fighting quite a bit of what seems to be received conventional wisdom.