Nick’s recent partisan fairness post notes that changes to California’s congressional redistricting would require an amendment to the state constitution. That seems right to me. But it’s also not the only mechanism California is considering.
On a recent podcast, picked up by outlets like Punchbowl, Governor Gavin Newsom offered the following theory that California is “exploring”:
to move forward with legislative redistricting, in between the constitutional construct, which is every census, the independent redistricting commission does a new map, but it’s silent about what happens in between, so it’s a novel legal question, and it’s being explored.
True, the California Constitution speaks only of the role of the redistricting commission to draw maps after the census each decade and speaks only of “final” map. Newsom appears to suggest that the legislature then has the power to substitute a new map after the commission has acted, because the state constitution does not explicitly demand the map remain in effect until the next census.
This seems, to me, at least, to lead to a kind of absurdist interpretation. It would wholly eviscerate the power of the redistricting commission and leave it an essentially advisory body left to the discretion of the legislature.
Dan links to a Los Angeles Times column quoting Justin on this very point. (To repeat this quotation here: We have a commission,” said Justin Levitt, an expert on redistricting law at Loyola Law School. “Not only that, a Constitution and the commission’s in the Constitution. And not only that, we have a Constitution that says you only get to redistrict once every 10 years, unless there’s a legal problem with the existing maps.”) The column continues, “They could break the law and pass legislation drawing new lines, face an inevitable lawsuit and prevail with a sympathetic ruling from the California Supreme Court.”
Such a gambit–if it went through the legislature–would then need to survive state judicial review. It is quite likely it would not.
But even if it did, the appeal to the United States Supreme Court would, not unexpectedly, cite Moore v. Harper for the proposition that the state court transgressed the ordinary bounds of judicial review. Perhaps ironically, it would be a court arrogating legislative power by ratifying what the state legislature did–that is, instead of deferring to the legislative power exercised by the people (pursuant to Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission) via initiative.
It’s worth noting, then, this gambit is, indeed, a long shot. It requires (1) California choosing this method instead of the state amendment method or nothing at all; (2) the legislature enacting a law; and (3) the state supreme court acquiescing. Any of these three steps seems deeply unlikely, and the convergence of all three all the more so. But, it is worth highlighting that if all three did converge, I would expect a strong majority of the United States Supreme Court to invigorate Moore v. Harper. It is, perhaps, one more reason why California might want to be wary about such a gambit.