“The future of political advertising is connected TV”

…re messages will be targeted much more narrowly to people based on their interests, purchasing behavior, etc. — just as they are online. Another big shift will be the way these ads are purchased. Unlike traditional TV ads, which are typically purchased ahead of time for a set price, Centro says more than 60% of CTV ads are purchased via programmatic real-time bidding on the ad inventory, which complicates transparency measures. “Providing informat…

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“CEOs Plan New Push on Voting Legislation”

…gn on, including executives at PepsiCo Inc., PayPal Holdings Inc., T. Rowe Price Group Inc. and Hess Corp. , among others, according to the people. PayPal confirmed it has signed the statement. PepsiCo, T. Rowe Price and Hess didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment. As more companies and their leaders have spoken out on the issue in recent weeks, their stands have drawn the ire of Republican state and federal legislators who say compani…

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“One Republican’s Lonely Fight Against a Flood of Disinformation”

…eve in a false reality. Mr. Riggleman is a living example of the political price of falling out of lock step with the hard right. He lost a G.O.P. primary race last June after he officiated at the wedding of a gay couple. And once he started calling out QAnon, whose followers believe that a satanic network of child molesters runs the Democratic Party, he received death threats and was attacked as a traitor, including by members of his own family….

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Trump Lawyers File Supplemental Brief in Supreme Court Urging Court to Hear Challenge to Wisconsin Election Case (Arguing Trump May Run for President Again So Case Falls in a Mootness Exception)

…avorite status in an open 2024 Republican primary”), available at: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/01/17/paleologos-polltrump-era-just-getting-started/4196345001/; “It’s still Trump’s party,” Axios, January 14, 2020 (“57% of Republicans said Trump should be the 2024 GOP candidate . . .[t]hat’s a formidable base for Trump, who also controls the $150 million+ he has raised for his super PAC since the election”) available at: https:…

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“A quarter of Trump’s 6,081 Facebook posts last year featured misinformation or extreme rhetoric”

…d false and another was labeled partly false, while the rest received more generic labels, Media Matters said. In all of 2020, The Washington Post counted the removal by Facebook of just seven posts by Trump and his campaign, four of which were for copyright-related issues. Trump and his campaign shared an account. Facebook spokesman Andy Stone pointed out that not all forms of misinformation related to the election or covid-19 were banned by the…

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“Democracy Is Weakening Right in Front of Us; Is technopessimism our new future?”

…the internet are, in fact, endangering democracy itself. Democracies pay a price for internet freedom, under this view, in the form of disinformation, hate speech, incitement, and foreign interference in elections. Writing separately in an email, Persily argued that Twitter and Facebook allowed Trump both to get around legacy intermediaries and to manipulate them by setting their agenda. They also provided environments (such as Facebook groups) th…

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“The Gerrymander Battles Loom, as G.O.P. Looks to Press Its Advantage”

…eton Gerrymandering Project. He estimated that reapportionment alone could net the Republicans three seats, and gerrymandering in North Carolina, Georgia and Florida another five seats. With Democrats holding a 222-211 edge, Republicans would probably need to flip just six seats to win back the majority. But Dr. Wang and other good-government experts cautioned that other factors could determine the majority. Democrats will try to redraw districts…

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Barton Gelman: “America’s Second-Worst Scenario: So far, cumulative acts of civic virtue have saved the republic. But the constitutional order is still in danger.”

…en so, Persily said, “I also want to praise their integrity. I think they realized they had a higher obligation here to the democracy. We shouldn’t pretend that they didn’t pay a significant price. Their political futures in Georgia are really in doubt as a result of this.” “They weren’t ready to give up on the American experiment,” Hasen said….

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U.S. Chamber of Commerce Issues Statement Condemning Effort in Congress to Mess with Election Vote Counting, Warns Against Violent Protests

…This is a fundamental right and we urge respect for all those who exercise their constitutional rights. Small businesses, local communities, and our nation pay a steep price when demonstrations turn violent and destructive, so it is critical that these gatherings be peaceful.”…

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Antrim, Michigan Hand Recount Confirms Accuracy of Machine Recount, with 12-Vote Gain for Trump

…t of Antrim County election results Thursday gave President Donald Trump a net gain of 12 votes from the certified results in the northern Michigan county. Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden’s total decreased by one vote, from 5,960 to 5,959, while Trump’s increased 11 votes, from 9,748 to 9,759, according to preliminary results from the county’s more than 7-hour, livestreamed audit. Biden won the state of Michigan by more than 154,000 vo…

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“GOP launches legal war on absentee voting ahead of Georgia runoffs”

…aise the threshold for signature verifiers to accept absentee ballots. The net result of the suits, which are backed by a combination of local, state and national Republican Party organizations, would make successfully voting by mail harder in Georgia, which Republicans say is necessary to protect the security of the elections — and others claim is an attempt to suppress votes for Democratic candidates. The legal efforts are likely just the start…

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“Arizona Supreme Court rejects GOP effort to overturn election results, affirms Biden win in state”

…to the Arizona Supreme Court, Chief Justice Robert Brutinel agreed.https://www.usatodaynetworkservice.com/tangstatic/html/pphx/sf-q1a2z3be0d353f.min.html The court agreed Ward’s challenge had failed to “present any evidence of ‘misconduct,’ ‘illegal votes’ or that the Biden Electors ‘did not in fact receive the highest number of votes for office,’” he wrote — “let alone establish any degree of fraud or a sufficient error rate that would undermine…

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“Facebook didn’t label some Georgia-related election misinformation, activist group says”

…5. Researchers at the non-profit analyzed 204 Facebook posts promoting 12 different disinformation claims that had been independently fact-checked and found that only 40% of them had a fact check label applied. Meanwhile, 30% of the posts had just a generic information label about the election and 30% had no label at all. The posts were found between November 18 and 20. In addition to stating that information is false, fact-checking labels are vi…

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“Florida attorney under investigation for registering to vote in Georgia, encouraging others to do the same”

…and we have to start fighting back, and we have to do whatever it takes,” Price said in the video. “And if that means changing your address for the next two months, so be it. I’m doing that. I’m moving to Georgia and I’m gonna fight and I want you all to fight with me.” Price told the group he’s moving to his brother’s address in Hiram, Georgia in order to register to vote in the January runoff. He repeats and spells and his brother’s name and ad…

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Trump Campaign Reply Brief in PA Federal Case Ignores Binding Supreme Court Authority on Standard for Preliminary Relief, Misspells Governor’s Name

…laim on the merits is enough depends on the balance of the harms: the more net harm an injunction can prevent, the weaker the plaintiff’s claim on the merits can be while still supporting some preliminary relief.” Id. Similarly, citing Winter, the D.C. Circuit has declined “to abandon the so-called `sliding scale’ approach to weighing the four preliminary injunction factors” and held that a “party seeking a preliminary injunction must make a clear…

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About 10,000 Ballots Arrived in PA the Three Days after Election Day

…PA did, about 78% would be for Biden. But that percentage might not be right, because we have seen in some other states that late-arriving absentees broke more Republican than earlier ones. But using that 78% as a rough figure, that would mean Biden would net 5,600 votes from these ballots. I am not sure whether the votes from these ballots are already included in the current PA vote totals or will soon be added to those totals. Either way, as ma…

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“False News Targeting Latinos Trails the Election; Rampant falsehoods evolved online on Wednesday, intended to make Spanish speakers question the unfolding election results and believe that President Trump was being robbed of victory.”

…y.” “The most vulnerable communities in the country are paying the highest price,” he said…. Yet 24 hours later, it appeared Facebook and Twitter might have overlooked the deluge of disinformation targeting Spanish-speaking Americans. Spanish-language accounts with huge followings falsely said that Mr. Trump had secured an early victory, that social media was censoring his win and that Mr. Biden was cheating. Twitter accounts with large followings…

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Talk About Incentives for Voting: Major Porn Site Issues Release Saying It Will Be Available on Election Day Only to Those Who Voted

…his year by casting their ballot and having their voice heard,” said Corey Price, Vice President, Pornhub. Leading up to the campaign officially launching on Nov. 3, Pornhub will be running a social campaign with an assortment of high-profile models – including Pornhub Brand Ambassador Asa Akira, Domino Presley, Natassia Dreams, Janice Griffith, Lance Hart, Soverign Syre and Lotus Laine – posting videos encouraging people to get out and vote and a…

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Breaking: Luzerne County, PA Files Motion in Supreme Court for Justice Barrett to Recuse from Deciding Case

…e herself in any election case, Newark Star-Ledger, Oct. 18, 2020, https://www.nj.com/opinion/2020/10/judge-barrett-mustrecuse-herself-in-any-election-case-editorial.html (last visited October 27, 2020);Editorial Board, Booker is right: Barrett should recuse herself on election cases, Newark Star-Ledger, Sept. 29, 2020, https://www.nj.com/opinion/2020/09/booker-isright-barrett-should-recuse-herself-on-election-cases-editorial.html (last visited Oc…

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How Much Do TV Political Ads Matter in the Digital Age?

…to his political program in 2020. He has tried to calculate the “cost-pernet-Democratic-vote,” combing through academic literature to mathematically determine where each marginal dollar from him can make the biggest difference. Other significant Moskovitz bets this cycle have included millions to the Voter Participation Center, a voter-turnout organization that has been supercharged by tech money over the last two years, and Vote Tripling, a “re…

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Breaking and Analysis: Without noted dissent, Supreme Court reverses 4th Circuit and says South Carolina voters still need to provide witness signatures to cast absentee ballots (except for those who already voted and ballots received within 2 days)

…ready voted without including a witness signature. Maybe unanimity was the price here. This also sends a signal to voting rights plaintiffs and Democrats who have been suing that things are not likely to go well as these cases work their way up to the Supreme Court. This is not a place that is going to be friendly for voting rights. This result doesn’t mean that Democrats and voting rights plaintiffs will lose all the cases coming up to the Court….

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“Trump is winning the voter registration battle against Biden in key states”

…the six states Trump won by less than 5 points in 2016, four — Arizona, Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania — permit voters to register by party. In all four states, voter registration trends are more robust for the GOP than four years ago. In Florida, Republicans added a net 195,652 registered voters between this March’s presidential primary and the end of August, while Democrats added 98,362 and other voters increased 69,848. During the sa…

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Judge Amy Barrett on Originalism

…In the event she is nominated, I thought this video of her speaking on originalism might be of interest. This is from the 2019 Federalist Society National Lawyers Convention. Judge Barrett spoke on a “Showcase Panel, titled “Why, or Why Not, Be an Originalist,” along with myself, and Professors Michael Dorf and Sai Prakash. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ef4kZL93kng…

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Democratic Voter Registration Lagging Republican Registration in Key Midwestern States

…istration is up by 6 points through August compared to the 2016 cycle, but net Democratic registrations are down by 38 percent. That’s about 150,000 fewer additional Democrats than were added in 2016. In addition, he continued, registration among whites without college degrees is up by 46 percent while registration by people of color is up by only 4 percent. That gap is made more stark when you realize that over the last four years, the WNC (white…

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Blockbuster Bart Gellman Atlantic Cover Story on Potential Election Meltdown Quotes Republican Sources Saying Trump Campaign May Try to Push State Legislators to Choose Presidential Electors Directly

…election before resorting to such a ploy? Trump’s base would exact a high price for that betrayal, and by this point party officials would be invested in a narrative of fraud. The Trump-campaign legal adviser I spoke with told me the push to appoint electors would be framed in terms of protecting the people’s will. Once committed to the position that the overtime count has been rigged, the adviser said, state lawmakers will want to judge for them…

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Watch Archived Video of UCI Event, “Are U.S. elections rigged, broken or dependable? Lessons from Canada and Australia Offer Insights for Improvement” (featuring Yasmin Dawood, Graeme Orr, and me, with Victoria Jones)

Watch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fqzDtWmVHTw&feature=youtu.be This webinar, recorded on September 21, 2020, covers international perspectives relevant to the upcoming U.S. Presidential Election. Co-sponsored by The UCI Office of Global Engagement, UCI Law and the Jack W. Peltason Center for the Study of Democracy, this webinar is intended as a resource for UCI faculty, staff and students and the general public. Discussion topics include: -…

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