Many people I respect have written me private messages to disagree with my earlier prediction that Judge Alito will not be confirmed. While I stand my my prediction at this time, I noted there that I did not have much confidence in the prediction (unlike, my earlier predictions on the Supreme Court nominations process that have mostly been proven right). I think much will turn on the public mood as the (inevitable) 30-second ads highlighting Judge Alito’s position in the Casey case begin airing.
Mike Rappaport weighs in here. I will not be surprised if I am proven wrong in this instance.
UPDATE: The always perceptive Taegan Goddard of PoliticalWire sets out the latest thinking on the Gang of 14 agreement.