In the recent New Jersey governor’s race, the Democratic Party clawed back much of the ground it had lost with Hispanic voters in the 2024 presidential race, according to a township-level analysis of results by The New York Times.
The results are stark: The heavily Hispanic areas that shifted the most to the left in 2025 were virtually a mirror image of the places that had swung the farthest to the right in 2024. The outcome suggests that President Trump’s surge of support among Hispanic voters last year may have been fleeting, or at least not transferable to other candidates in his party.
Mr. Trump’s strength among Hispanic voters in 2024 stunned Democrats. Exit polls showed Vice President Kamala Harris slipping to the narrowest of majorities, winning only 51 percent of Hispanic voters. And a wave of heavily Hispanic areas, from the border counties of Texas to the Bronx, swung decidedly to the right, raising the possibility of a racial realignment.
The New Jersey governor’s race was the first big test of how enduring those changes might be.
The stakes were heightened by the fact that both the Democratic winner, Representative Mikie Sherrill, and her Republican rival, Jack Ciattarelli, had competed aggressively for the support of the state’s growing Latino population….