There has been considerable attention to a slight shift to the right among some nonwhite voters in the 2024 Presidential election. See, for example, here, here, and here. Lenny Bronner and Andrew Van Dam have a story in The Washington Post that places the issue in a comparative context. Their story illustrates that a similar event occurred in Canada and the United Kingdom. Their key inquiry is whether there is a common explanation among the three countries. The answer is no. Each country has its own reason.

From the lede:

Urban minorities in cities such as New York, once Democrats’ blue bedrock, swung toward Donald Trump in 2024. Many months later, we’re still casting about for a full explanation.

But what if it wasn’t really about Trump? Or New York?