“GOP roars back to life in Trump-resistant Pennsylvania suburbs”


I am skeptical that the wins in Bucks County amount to the GOP roaring back to life in the Pennsylvania suburbs. No one ever seriously discusses turnout. Compare Municipal 2021 with General 2020 and Midterm 2018. We would have to see next year’s midterm turnout drop to 2014 levels for the 2021 election to be a useful benchmark of GOP support in the state. I would be very surprised to see that given Pennsylvania will have open seats for Governor and the U.S. Senate in 2022. For a different skeptical take, see WHYY and particularly the comments of Lara Putnam. Still, it is worth a read.

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