The fact that the New Hampshire Union Leader is endorsing Biden has made big news, understandably enough given that it’s the first time in more than 100 years the Union Leader has endorsed a Democrat for President. Here’s what the asterisk in its header says:

While Joe Biden is the clear choice for president, it would be a disservice to the country to send him to the White House without a backstop. We suggest splitting the ballot and electing a healthy dose of GOP senators and representatives. The best governance often comes through compromise. The civility of the Biden administration will help foster such compromise, but a blue wave would be nearly as disastrous for this country as four more years of Trump. It would result in a quagmire of big government programs that will take decades to overcome.

This made me wonder how much split ticketing voting we’ll see this year. Polling data suggests only about 4% of voters say they plan to split their vote for President and Senate or House between the major parties — in line with the decline in split ticketing voting as politics has become more polarized.