Monthly Archives: August 2024

“Improving Voter-Centered Representation in Local Government”

This launch event for TrueViews will be held on Tuesday, September 3, from 11am – 12:15pm, both in-person and virtually. TrueViews is a new site I’ve been working on together with Justin De Benedictis-Kessner, Ruth Greenwood, and Chris Warshaw, funded by the Bloomberg Center for Cities at Harvard University. For the first time, TrueViews will make available public opinion data on many policies and at many geographic levels (from states to districts to zip codes). I’ll be saying more about TrueViews in the coming days, but for now, here’s the summary for the launch event. You can RSVP here.

Do candidates seeking political office know what their constituents think and care about? A new resource developed by Harvard Law School’s Election Law Clinic and supported by the Local Politics Lab at the Bloomberg Center for Cities at Harvard University provides new, granular data on public opinion in the United States. TrueViews can address misrepresentation and polarization by providing city leaders and other policymakers with precise insights into the policy preferences of their residents. The data platform can also bolster scholarly research on local politics.

TrueViews uses cutting-edge methodology to produce accurate estimates of public opinion in previously unavailable geographical snapshots, including by city or town, zip code, and even school district. Meet the faculty behind TrueViews as they discuss the use of state-, county-, and city-level public opinion data on key issues such as criminal justice, education, immigration, or taxes.

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“Prosecutors Seek Simpler Path in Federal Election Case, as Trump Seeks Delays”

NYT:

Federal prosecutors and lawyers for former President Donald J. Trump filed dueling proposals on Friday night about how to move forward in the case accusing him of plotting to overturn the 2020 election in light of the Supreme Court’s landmark ruling on presidential immunity and other legal issues.

The proposals gave starkly different views of the case: Prosecutors suggested they believed their revised charges would allow them to steer clear of the Supreme Court ruling, while Mr. Trump’s lawyers made clear they would continue attacks on the case that could push it far into next year.

In a joint filing to Judge Tanya S. Chutkan, prosecutors in the office of the special counsel, Jack Smith, said they wanted to begin the process of assessing the impact of the court’s immunity decision on the case simply by filing additional court papers.

The prosecutors told Judge Chutkan that they believe the immunity ruling “does not apply” to the revised charges they have brought against Mr. Trump and were prepared to submit a filing explaining their position “promptly at any time the court deems appropriate.”

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“Nebraska Supreme Court weighs felon voting law: How it could affect 2024 election”

USA Today:

Elections and politics suddenly became more real to Aaron Pettes this summer when he learned that for the first time in his life he was eligible to vote.

The 44-year-old former felon in Omaha is one of an estimated 7,000 Nebraskans who would become immediately eligible to vote just in time for the 2024 presidential election under a law passed by the legislature this spring.

Pettes, who was sentenced to 17 years for bank robbery but got out two years early for good behavior, began researching the candidates, excited to study their policy positions and accomplishments before making a choice.

Then two days before the law took effect in July, Nebraska Attorney General Mike Hilgers, a Republican, issued an opinion declaring unconstitutional under the state constitution not only the new law, but also the 2005 law it was based on. That earlier law had already restored the right to vote to more than 90,000 felons over the past 19 years. Secretary of State Bob Evnen, a Republican, soon followed with an order instructing county election officials to reject the registration of any voter with a felony in their past….

Now the Nebraska Supreme Court is weighing whether the state attorney general acted properly when he unilaterally declared that the two state laws were unconstitutional less than four months before Election Day. Advocates who have pushed to restore the vote for felons say they are worried that even if they win this disproportionately Black group of voters will not turn out this year out of fear of casting an illegal ballot….

In a 30-minute oral argument Wednesday, the seven members of the Nebraska Supreme Court asked why the attorney general didn’t bring his own suit questioning the constitutionality of the new law and quizzed attorneys on both sides about precedent, but didn’t send strong signals about leaning toward a particular ruling.

The court could choose to resolve just whether the attorney general and secretary of state followed the proper procedure in striking down the laws, or could also address whether the underlying laws are constitutional.

University of Nebraska-Lincoln assistant law professor Danielle Jefferis said she expects the court will address both in an attempt to avoid further confusion.

“Unless the court issues a clear, definitive ruling on the underlying constitutionality, I think we continue to live in a land of uncertainty, which is not good for the election,” she said.

The court prioritized hearing the case, and advocates hope that means a speedy decision as well, perhaps by mid to late September….

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“RFK Jr. can’t get off ballot in North Carolina, can’t get back on it in New York”

AP‘s headline shows you how ludicrous our current system is—where RFK Jr. is not and never was a viable candidate, and all the jockeying is about whether it will help or hurt the major party candidates for him to be on the ballot in particular states.

We really need to use ranked choice voting or some other method to assure that third party candidates can run vigorous candidacies without risking these secondary effects.

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Divided Ninth Circuit Rejects Constitutional Challenge to Federal Law that Requires Hawaii to Allow Former Residents Who Move to CNMI to Vote, But Not Those Who Move to Other U.S. Territories Including Guam, Just 37 Miles from CNMI

The majority applied rational basis review; the dissenter would have applied Anderson-Burdick balancing and remanded. The majority expressed concern about the lack of voting rights of those who live in U.S. territories but said litigation was the wrong way to solve it.

I talk about the unfairness of U.S. voting rights for people living in territories in my book, A Real Right to Vote.

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The other Bush v. Gore issue in Pennsylvania

Rick H. links to the recent Pennsylvania court decision and notes that there could be a Legislature Thereof Clause-style challenge to it, a la Chief Justice Rehnquist’s opinion in Bush v. Gore as ratified in some form in Moore v. Harper. But another Bush v. Gore issue may arise, that of Equal Protection.

Plaintiffs only sued two counties (Philadelphia and Allegheny), not the other 65. When the RNC as intervenors argued that the other 65 were indispensable parties (and must be a part of the lawsuit, or the case would have to be thrown out or the parties added), the court said this:

As for their equal protection concerns, Republican Party Intervenors do not develop their argument in this regard, as they only cite, without any substantive explanation, the above cases for the proposition set forth therein in passing that all laws regulating the holding of elections shall be uniform across the state. (See Repub. Party Intervenors’ Memo. in Supp. of ASR at 21-42 & Memo. of Law in Opp’n at 15-17.) While we generally agree with this well-established principle of uniformity, it is also well known, and undisputed in this case, that all 67 county boards of this Commonwealth do not conduct elections in their respective counties with strict uniformity to each other county in all respects. See generally RNC II (involving some county boards’ notice and opportunity to cure procedures with respect to absentee and mail-in ballots); see also Pa. Democratic Party, 238 A.3d at 382-83 (discussing Repub. Party of Pa. v. Cortés, 218 F. Supp. 3d 396, 409 (E.D. Pa. 2016) (in which the Eastern District Court of Pennsylvania considered the constitutionality of the Election Code’s poll watcher residency requirement and explained that Pennsylvania’s General Assembly enacted a county-based scheme to manage elections within the state, endeavored to allow county election officials to oversee a manageable portion of the state in all aspects of the process, and ensured as much coherency in that patchwork system as possible)). In the absence of any other citation to binding authority stating that any order issued in this case, by an en banc panel of this Court, would have no effect as it relates to the other 65 county boards, we decline to hold that we lack jurisdiction on these bases.

It seems odd to say this, then turn around and say that there’s a “substantial threat of disenfranchisement” for voters in these two counties that merits relief. To me, that would seem to weigh in favor of a need for uniformity, something beyond just “management” of how elections are administered.

Now, this is the substantive argument of what the equal protection argument means. (Relatedly, and interestingly, there seems to be little discussion of state law on the topic of the “well-established principle of uniformity.”)

But the argument here arises in the procedural dispute about indispensible parties. The RNC simply noted the other 65 counties were necessary, the court disagreed (and there are other things that must be established to show that a party is indispensible), so any development of the substantive issues ends up taking a back seat.

That said, it could well open up another lawsuit after this one, if two counties are under a court order that compels them to do something that a court has identified must be done or a “substantial threat of disenfranchisement” will take place, while the other 65 counties are under no such obligation. And, of course, more lawsuits are hardly what we’d like to see…. Pennyslvania’s deeply decentralized election system remains a source of plenty of litigation.

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Pennsylvania Court, on 4-1 Vote, Holds That Failing to Count Timely But Undated (or Misdated) Mail-In Ballots Violates the State Constitution; Case Likely Headed to State Supreme Court and Potentially SCOTUS on Federal Cases

This decision could be a very big deal in the case of a very close election. And because this is a ruling that the state constitution trumps a state statute when it comes to voting, there will be an issue as to whether it can apply to federal elections (including for President) under the so-called “indpendent state legislature” theory after the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision in Moore v. Harper.

This case will likely end up at the PA Supreme Court (which just announced some special timing rules for considering election cases), and on the federal issue, potentially at SCOTUS.

Keep an eye on this one in the swingiest of the swing states.

(h/t Adam Bonin)

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“Decision on Georgia election board threatens Kemp’s détente with Trump”

WaPo:

Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp (R) has enjoyed an unusually friendly public rapport in recent days with former president Donald Trump.

After years of heaping insults on Kemp for refusing to help reverse Joe Biden’s 2020 victory in the state, Trump praised the governor on Truth Social this month for his “help and support.” On Thursday, Kemp attended a fundraiser in Atlanta for the Republican presidential nominee, who is locked in a virtual tie with Vice President Kamala Harris in polling of the critical swing state.

But the détente might not last. Kemp is now weighing whether state law requires him to get involved in a simmering controversy around the Georgia State Election Board, whose conservative majority is under fire for approving new rules this month that Trump supports but that state and local officials say will sow confusion, compromise ballot security and potentially enable rogue county boards to block certification of election results in November.

This week, Kemp asked Georgia Attorney General Chris Carr (R) for an advisory opinion on what authority he has to address ethics complaints against the state board. Those who filed the complaints have said that state law requires the governor to remove the members if he finds their actions were inappropriate….

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“Group repped by former Trump lawyer questions NC election results, alleges election law violations”

WRAL:

A group represented by a lawyer with ties to former President Donald Trump says North Carolina’s 2022 election results are unreliable due in part to voting machine errors, alleging in court documents that elections officials violated federal laws designed to guarantee election integrity.

It’s part of a national strategy questioning election results in almost two dozen states — an effort that critics say promotes misinformation and stokes doubt about the electoral process.

United Sovereign Americans and Franklinton resident Richard Yost made the allegations Wednesday in a petition filed in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of North Carolina. The petition names the North Carolina State Board of Elections, North Carolina Attorney General Josh Stein and U.S. Attorney General Merrick Garland as respondents.

The Chesterfield, Missouri-based group, which has filed lawsuits questioning vote integrity in other states, alleges that in 2022 North Carolina encountered a rate of voting machine errors that was higher than federal law allows — enough to call into question the veracity of the count. It said it brought the alleged issues to state elections officials, but they “did nothing to investigate those apparent errors before certifying the election.” The group also questioned voter registrations…..

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“Two-thirds of Americans say Trump unprepared to accept the election outcome: POLL”

ABC News:

Most Americans say they and Kamala Harris alike are prepared to accept the outcome of the 2024 presidential election as legitimate. Donald Trump, not so much.

Eighty-one percent of Americans in a new ABC News/Ipsos poll say that regardless of which candidate they support, they are prepared to accept the outcome of the election. Fewer, but still 68%, see Harris as prepared to accept the outcome. Just 29% say the same about Trump.

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“In Georgia, Local Officials Express Frustration Over New Election Rules”

NYT:

The people who run elections in Georgia are angry and frustrated over new state rules that they say will make the process less secure and their jobs more difficult.

At a meeting this week in the small city of Forsyth, Ga., county election officials from across the state expressed exasperation at the Republican-controlled State Election Board, which in recent weeks upended the process for certifying elections. The changes have injected new uncertainty into the democratic process, they said, just before the November election.

“I’m very concerned about some of the rules they have passed,” said Anne Dover, the director of elections for Cherokee County, a suburban county north of Atlanta. Some of them appear to contradict state law, she said, putting local officials in a no-win situation. “If you write a rule that goes against the law, then are you going to turn me in to the attorney general when I break your rule?” she asked. “I’m of the mind-set that I will break a rule before I will break a law.”…

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