All posts by Richard Pildes
“Top CEOs met to plan response to Trump’s election denial”
From the AP:
On Nov. 6, more than two dozen CEOs of major U.S. corporations took part in a video conference to discuss what to do if Trump refuses to leave office or takes other steps to stay in… Continue reading
Sean Trende Analysis Suggests New Census and Redistricting Makes It Likely House Will Turn R in 2022 Elections (of course, we still have to have the elections…)
Sean Trende at RCP is offering a state-by-state analysis of how reapportionment and redistricting will affect House delegations from each State:
Following last week’s elections, Democrats will retain control the House of Representatives. At the same time, their margin will… Continue reading
Six States Have Now Officially Certified Their Votes
See here for a running tally.
“Can Trump actually stage a coup and stay in office for a second term?”
From the Guardian:
There is a long-shot legal theory, floated by Republicans before the election, that Republican-friendly legislatures in places such as Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania could ignore the popular vote in their states and appoint their own electors.… Continue reading
About 10,000 Ballots Arrived in PA the Three Days after Election Day
That’s the number the Secretary of State’s Office is reporting, according to the Inquirer’s excellent journalist covering these issues, Johnathan Lai.
That would not be 10,000 votes for Biden, of course. If these ballots broke the way other absentees in… Continue reading
No Middle Ground
WP:
Frank Luntz, a longtime Republican pollster, described Trump as being at a crossroads.
“I think what Donald Trump does in the next seven days will determine his future as well as America’s future,” Luntz said. “The more that he… Continue reading
NY Post Editorial
The math is looking near-impossible for President Trump to win re-election. But he should take pride in what he’s done for the nation and the world these last four years. It’s a legacy he could easily run on in 2024… Continue reading
“Trump’s bid to discredit election raises fear that he will undermine a smooth transfer of power”
From Washington Post:
“What’s interesting is that Trump is now the leader of the resistance,” said Simon Rosenberg, founder of the liberal NDN think tank. “He can do a lot to make it far more difficult under what is… Continue reading
A Small but Important Math Point about Recounts (Plural)
Let’s say the probability of a recount in state 1 changing the result of the initially tabulated vote in favor of losing candidate B is 0.2% (I made the 0.2% figure up just for illustration). But B needs to have… Continue reading
“How Florida Became America’s Vote-Counting Model”
Jeb Bush has a very good point-by-point account of how Florida, after the 2000 Bush v. Gore debacle, dramatically modernized its election system to give us one of the best run states this year. He lists 11 changes, too much… Continue reading
How Would Donald Trump Have Done if All States Used Ranked-Choice Voting?
In the key states we are still waiting on, it looks like Libertarian candidates received considerably more votes than the margins Trump is losing by currently. These numbers can of course change, and don’t assume anywhere near all Libertarian voters… Continue reading
What Poll Watching and Ballot Processing Was Like on the Ground
This is the most in-depth story I’ve seen, from the Detroit Free Press, about how the ballot processing went on in one particularly important location, Detroit. Rick linked to it below, but I wanted to highlight that it contains all… Continue reading
Important statement about the end of the election from PA’s legislative leaders
This is an extremely responsible, important statement from the majority leaders of the PA Senate and House. It deserves wide circulation because it makes clear that the voters will decide the election. This statement goes a long way to ensuring… Continue reading