“Aligning Election Law”

Yesterday was publication day for my new book, Aligning Election Law. The book builds on several earlier articles of mine, and argues that promoting alignment between governmental outputs and popular preferences should be an overarching goal for election law. You can download the book’s introduction for free here. For ELB readers in the Boston area, I’ll be giving a talk about the book at MIT on Oct. 21 at 6pm; folks can RSVP here. And here’s the book’s abstract:

This book argues that alignment between governmental outputs and popular preferences should be a tenet of the law of democracy. Alignment is a core democratic value. Yet it isn’t appreciated by election law scholarship, much of which focuses on other democratic goals. Nor do the courts consider alignment when deciding election law cases. In fact, the Roberts Court has undermined alignment at almost every turn. And in part because of these rulings, modern American politics is marred by pervasive misalignment. If alignment were recognized as a legal and political principle, it could function as a sword or as a shield. As a sword, alignment would be wielded offensively to strike down misaligning electoral practices (or not to enact them in the first place). As a shield, alignment would be deployed defensively to justify aligning electoral practices (in litigation or in public discourse). The federal courts could be a valuable ally in the struggle for alignment. Unfortunately, the Roberts Court has been a foe rather than a friend, declining to invalidate many misaligning policies and nullifying several aligning ones. Fortunately, federal litigation isn’t the only route to a more aligned political system. Congress could pass a range of potent aligning laws. So could state legislatures. State courts are also more promising venues, relative to their federal counterparts, because they adhere to a democracy principle unfamiliar to federal law. Last but not least, the people themselves could pursue alignment on their own, through either direct democracy or wholly private activity.

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The Return of the Independent State Legislature Issue to the Court?

A case out of Montana is going to provide the next test of where the Court stands on the independent state legislature doctrine (ISL). In Moore v. Harper (2023), the Court rejected a more extreme version of the doctrine, but endorsed a weaker version, as I discussed in this NYTimes essay. Under that version, “[S]tate courts may not so exceed
the bounds of ordinary judicial review as to unconstitutionally intrude upon the role specifically reserved to state legislatures by” the Elections Clause, which applies to federal elections. Scholars have debated how much teeth this weaker version might have.

In MT, the state court struck down via the state constitution two changes the legislature made to state election laws regulating federal elections. The first change ended same-day voter registration and required voters to register no later than noon the day before the election. The second change required the MT Secretary of State to adopt regulations banning paid absentee ballot collection. In a 5-2 decision, the MT Supreme Court held that both these legislative changes violated the state’s constitutional protections for the right to vote. The court held that the state constitution provides greater protection for the right to vote than is provided under federal constitutional law by the Anderson-Burdick doctrine.

MT has filed a cert. petition arguing that this state court interpretation of the state constitution violates the constraints Moore v. Harper announced. The case is Jacobsen v. MT Democratic Party. Several amicus briefs have been filed in support of the petition, including by 15 states. The Court is due to discuss the case at its Oct. 18th conference, but since respondents have waived their right to file a response, the Court’s first action might be to request a response. MT has not sought an emergency stay, so if the Court hears the case, it would be well after the election.

This case definitely bears watching. If the Court denies cert., that will be a signal that the weaker version of the ISL is not likely to be robust. If the Court grants cert., that would signal the opposite.

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My New One at Slate: “Jack Smith’s Big New Jan. 6 Brief Is a Major Indictment of the Supreme Court”

I have written this piece for Slate. It begins:

It’s rare to simultaneously feel red hot anger and wistfulness, especially when merely reading a document. But that’s exactly the emotions that washed over me when I read the redacted version of special counsel Jack Smith’s brief reciting in detail the evidence against Donald Trump for attempting to subvert the 2020 election. The anger is at the Supreme Court for depriving the American people of the chance for a full public airing of Donald Trump’s attempt to use fraud and trickery to overturn Joe Biden’s 2020 presidential victory before voters consider whether to put Trump back in office beginning January 2025. The wistfulness comes with the recognition that there is about an even chance that this will be the last evidence produced by the federal government of this nefarious plot. If Donald Trump wins election next month, the end of this prosecution is certain and the risks of future election subversion heightened….

Right now it appears to be a tossup whether Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris will win office in the November election. If Trump wins, he will have his attorney general fire Smith and shut down this prosecution. If he keeps his promises, he even may seek to investigate and prosecute Smith, Harris, Biden, and others. There is a risk of authoritarianism down the line.

The fact that no jury may pass on the deadly serious allegations in Smith’s complaint will do more than simply let Trump and others off the hooks for their potential crimes. It will make future criminal activity related to American elections much more likely. And it all could have been avoided if McConnell, Garland, and especially the Supreme Court did the right thing.

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Breaking: Federal District Court Issues Preliminary Injunction Barring Enforcement of California Law Against Election-Related Deepfakes

You can read the 21-page opinion at this link. The key point from the judge is the view that counterspeech is a more narrowly tailored alternative to the regulation of political speech.

I agree with the lower court that California’s law is likely unconstitutional—mainly because of its treatment of “parody” and “satire” as different from other speech. However, the judge’s opinion here lacks naunce and recognition that a state mandatory labeling law for all AI-generated election content could well be constitutional. (I make this argument in some depth in by 2022 book, Cheap Speech). I fear that the judge’s meat-cleaver-rather-than-scalpel-approach, if upheld on appeal, will do some serious harm to laws that properly balance our need for fair elections with our need for robust free speech protection.

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“Court says betting on U.S. congressional elections can resume, for now”

AP:

Betting on the outcome of U.S. Congressional elections can resume, at least temporarily, a federal appeals court ruled Wednesday.

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit dissolved an order it had previously issued that prevented New York startup company Kalshi from taking bets on which political party would control the House and Senate after this November’s elections.

The ruling clears the way for such betting to resume while the court further considers the underlying issues in the case.

So far, Kalshi has only offered bets on congressional races; it was not immediately clear whether they plan to expand offerings to include the presidential election.

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“Georgia Republicans sow doubt about Dominion voting machines in 2020 throwback”

CNN:

Just weeks before early voting begins in Georgia, Republican Party officials and Donald Trump allies are trying to preemptively sow doubt about the viability of Dominion systems used across the key swing state, arguing in court that the machines should not be used because they are not safe or secure.

In a replay of 2020 tactics, Republicans have continued to claim without proof that Dominion voting systems are susceptible to mass manipulation and vote-flipping by a nefarious actor. And GOP officials in DeKalb County in Georgia, aided by a familiar cast of pro-Trump lawyers, have signaled they are planning to once again question the 2024 election results if Trump loses.

They have sued in state court, arguing the Dominion voting machines are not in compliance with Georgia law and want the Secretary of State’s office to make voting records and ballot images available for public inspection within 24 hours of the election. But the lawsuit is also raising concerns that the DeKalb County GOP officials are attempting to mislead voters so they can explain away a potential loss in November….

The GOP officials who filed the lawsuit say they have obtained new evidence about the vulnerabilities of the Dominion systems, a claim that Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, a Republican, and state election officers say is false. The lawsuit also theorizes that the systems may have already been compromised, despite offering no proof to support that claim.

The plaintiffs are using the “same tired claims that have been rejected by courts again and again,” Elizabeth Young, who is representing Raffensperger’s office, told Judge Scott McAfee at a court hearing this week to determine whether the lawsuit will move forward and additional evidence can be presented. “There is not much credibility in the claim.”

Marilyn Marks, executive director of the Coalition for Good Governance, a nonprofit voting rights organization that has raised concerns about vulnerabilities in Georgia’s voting systems as part of a separate lawsuit against state election officials, told CNN she is skeptical about the true intention of the DeKalb County complaint.

“I fear they are just attempting to lay the groundwork for challenging the election based on further exposing the serious weaknesses of the system, demonstrating that the results can be manipulated,” said Marks, who is pushing for Georgia to use hand-marked paper ballots.

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