Ross Douthat’s latest column follows the “backlash” narrative: if the aftermath of Shelby County sees more laws marginally increasing burdens for some, that will inspire greater compensatory turnout from others.
Two short notes on this argument. First, voters aren’t fungible. Increasing burdens for some is still increasing burdens for some. Second, not all votes are for the presidency. I’ve yet to hear a convincing story about how the backlash narrative works in a small town or a rural county.