“Federal Court Rules Alabama Must Take Steps to Better Protect Voters During COVID-19 Pandemic”

Release:

A federal court issued a decision today that will help protect the health and right to vote of medically vulnerable Alabamians.

The ruling in People First of Alabama v. Merrill means Alabama voters will not need a witness or notary to vote by mail if they have an underlying medical condition and provide a statement. 

The decision also stipulates that voters 65 and older with an underlying medical condition won’t need an ID so long as they provide other identifying information such as their driver’s license number or last four digits of their Social Security number. In addition, it lifts Secretary John Merrill’s ban on curbside voting. 

The lawsuit was filed by the NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund (LDF), Southern Poverty Law Center, American Civil Liberties Union, ACLU of Alabama, and Alabama Disabilities Advocacy Program.

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Republicans in Pennsylvania House Push Resolution That Would Give House Committee Investigatory and Subpoena Power on Election Issues; Potential Prelude to Use of Powers to Appoint Presidential Electors?

You can find the proposed resolution at this link. Governor Wolf (a Democrat) has condemned the move (via Ryan Grim).

I’m not saying that the Pa legislature would use the power, but this is a first step toward trying to potentially appoint electors directly.

Keep an eye on this.

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“The growing concerns over Trump and a peaceful transition, explained; It’s unlikely that Trump will steal the election. But unlikely doesn’t mean impossible.”

Zack Beauchamp for Vox:

The general sense among experts on American politics is that the nightmare scenarios — an outright stolen election, each party attempting to inaugurate a different president on January 20, or clashes between armed supporters of each side — are only plausible if the election is close, and even then, they remain unlikely.

“Unless there’s a catastrophic failure on Election Day … then the election only goes into overtime if the election is close enough to litigate in a state that is essential to the Electoral College outcome. That’s unlikely if the polls are even close to accurate,” Rick Hasen, a law professor at the University of California Irvine and author of the recent book Election Meltdown, tells me.

But Trump’s 2016 win and the emergence of a pandemic earlier this year were both “unlikely,” too. If we’ve learned anything from the past few years of politics, it’s that this kind of low-probability, high-impact event can happen — and needs to be planned for if the worst is to be avoided.

“In my mind, the worst-case scenario is the possibility of dueling inaugurations … a situation where we’re facing the end of the republic as we know,” says Franita Tolson, an election law expert at the University of Southern California.

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“The Attack on Voting; How President Trump’s false claim of voter fraud is being used to disenfranchise Americans.”

Jim Rutenberg in the New York Times Magazine:

The strategy was now in full view: Flood every state, every television news network, every newspaper and news feed with manufactured evidence of fraud to suppress Democratic votes before Election Day — and to knock them out of state-by-state tallies in the courts and counting rooms afterward. In September, Trump’s power to affect the outcome reached a new level when Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg died and Mitch McConnell lined up the votes for a fast confirmation of the Supreme Court’s sixth conservative member. Increasingly, longtime election experts were seeing “a pathway for something other than voters choosing the next president,” said Richard Hasen, a professor at the University of California-Irvine School of Law who writes the widely read Election Law Blog.

The movement to convince the country that voter fraud is a present danger to democracy has itself become a present danger to democracy. It has melded fully into the president’s re-election campaign. The argument is now that the only way Trump can lose this election is through sweeping voter fraud that benefits his opponent; any outcome in which he doesn’t win, therefore, can be considered illegitimate. This, Trump says, is why he refuses to commit to a peaceful transfer of power: Only fraud can beat him, and fraud is everywhere.

But unlike four years ago, when his campaign laid the groundwork for a similar argument, Trump is now aiming the full force of the United States government — its lawyers, its Postal Service, even its armed officers — at a false threat that has been used to disenfranchise American citizens since the darkest days of the republic. He is doing it in the service of one goal: to maintain his own grip on power.

“When you see them cheating with those ballots, all of those unsolicited ballots, those millions of ballots, you see them, any time you do, report them to the authorities,” he said at a late September election rally in Toledo, Ohio. “The authorities are waiting, and watching.”

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Charles Zelden on Florida 2000: “Guest opinion: Legislatures picking electors to the Electoral College: It could not only happen, it almost did”

Op-ed:

On December 7, 2000, in the midst of the Florida recount crisis, Florida Senate President John McKay and Speaker of the House Tom Feeney announced that, “the Legislature would choose the electors, as permitted by the U.S. Constitution, if the court disputes were continuing and there was not yet ‘finality’ on December 12.”  When the Florida Supreme Court announced a statewide recount order, the stage was set for a confrontation. So long as there was a chance for the December 12 “safe harbor” to be violated, the Republican legislators were set to act.

On Tuesday, December 12th, the Florida House did just this, voting in George W. Bush’s electors as the state’s official slate to the Electoral College. The next day the Florida Senate was prepared to do the same. It was at this point that the U.S. Supreme Court made the whole matter largely moot by issuing its ruling in Bush v. Gore.  With Gore’s quick concession, the need for the Florida Senate to act disappeared.

And check out Zelden on this podcast, talking about the third edition of his Bush v. Gore book.

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“Record $13 Billion Raised for 2020 Elections Spurs Ad Avalanche”

Bloomberg Government:

The 2020 election has generated a record $13.3 billion in federal campaign contributions, funding a barrage of political advertising that strategists say risks blurring candidate messaging.

The unprecedented outpouring of campaign cash raised through Sept. 28 is more than 75% above what was donated during the same period in the 2016 election, according to a cumulative total of disclosure reports filed with the Federal Election Commission. It comes amid a high-stakes fight for control of the White House and the Senate that has been intensified by the battle over the replacement of the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

Support for and opposition to President Donald Trump is driving both small-dollar donors enabled by the internet and big donors empowered through a largely deregulated campaign finance system, said Sarah Bryner, a campaign finance researcher at the Center for Responsive Politics. The donors seem unfazed by the pandemic and economic downturn, Bryner said in a phone interview.

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“In 2020 Election, Florida Felon Voting Limits Could Sway State Outcome”

Wall Street Journal:

New data from researchers at Georgetown University Law Center shows the law could mean a large share of registered voters with felony records still face hurdles. The researchers identified about 14,000 people within this group who have registered to vote since the end of 2018, and among them at least 9,700, or 69%, still owed money, according to a Journal analysis of the researcher’s data.

Criminal-justice advocates sued the state and argued that adding a requirement to pay legal and financial obligations, like fees and court costs, were an illegal barrier to the ballot box. They won a favorable U.S. District Court ruling in May, but a federal appeals court ruling this month reversed that decision.

These would-be voters, who likely number in the hundreds of thousands, have faced difficulties in accurately figuring out what they owe with the registration deadline looming on Monday, advocates say.

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“Tuesday’s Debate Made Clear the Gravest Threat to the Election: The President Himself”

NYT:

President Trump’s angry insistence in the last minutes of Tuesday’s debate that there was no way the presidential election could be conducted without fraud amounted to an extraordinary declaration by a sitting American president that he would try to throw any outcome into the courts, Congress or the streets if he was not re-elected.

His comments came after four years of debate about the possibility of foreign interference in the 2020 election and how to counter such disruptions. But they were a stark reminder that the most direct threat to the electoral process now comes from the president of the United States himself.

His unwillingness to say he would abide by the result, and his disinformation campaign about the integrity of the American electoral system, went beyond anything President Vladimir V. Putin could have imagined. All Mr. Putin has to do now is amplify the president’s message, which the Russian leader has already begun to do.

Everything Mr. Trump said in his face-off with Joseph Biden Jr. he had already delivered in recent weeks, in tweets and rallies with his faithful. But he had never before put it all together in front of such a large audience as he did Tuesday night.

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Wisconsin GOP tries to stop Racing Sausages from promoting civic participation

The Wisconsin GOP sent a letter yesterday claiming that it would be improper “electioneering” and/or vote buying for MLB and the Brewers’ Racing Sausages to encourage early voting.

The legal citations in the letter seem … off.

The assertions with respect to campaign finance seem … at odds with the rather emphatic views of the Wisconsin GOP in particular on uninhibited election-related spending as a core component of free speech.

But I’m most baffled by the political calculation. Picking a losing legal fight with MLB and the Racing Sausages seems like an odd late-September strategy.

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“In Senate questionnaire, Barrett won’t pledge to recuse herself from 2020 election cases”

Politico:

President Donald Trump’s nominee to the Supreme Court did not commit to recusing herself from cases related to the outcome of the 2020 presidential election, according to her written responses to a Senate Judiciary Committee questionnaire.

Amy Coney Barrett’s responses, obtained by POLITICO on Tuesday night, also provide a window into the breakneck pace at which the White House operated in the aftermath of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death, with Barrett revealing that Trump settled on her as his pick just three days after Ginsburg’s death.

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“Top Intelligence Official Releases Unverified, Previously Rejected Russia Information”

NYT:

President Trump’s top intelligence official on Tuesday released unverified information about the 2016 campaign that appeared to be a bid to help Mr. Trump politically and was said to be disclosed over the objections of career intelligence officials who were concerned that the material could be Russian disinformation.

The disclosures were the latest by John Ratcliffe, the director of national intelligence and previously an outspoken congressional ally of the president, that highlighted information that helped Mr. Trump but that critics have called distortions.

Mr. Ratcliffe sought to shore up the credibility of the material, which centered on claims about Hillary Clinton, saying that it was not a product of Russian disinformation after initially acknowledging that it could be. But his initial disclosure, coming hours before the first presidential debate, offered fresh ammunition for Mr. Trump to attack his political enemies.

In a letter to Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican of South Carolina and the chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, Mr. Ratcliffe laid out snippets of previously classified reports suggesting that Russian intelligence had acquired information that Mrs. Clinton had approved a plan for her 2016 campaign to “stir up a scandal” against Mr. Trump by tying him to the Russian hackers who had broken into Democratic servers.

Other officials — including Robert S. Mueller III, the special counsel appointed by the Justice Department, and the Republican-led Senate Intelligence Committee — had evaluated and rejected the information in the years since, according to three current and former officials familiar with those inquiries.

An official familiar with the committee’s work said that Mr. Ratcliffe and Mr. Graham released it over the objections of other intelligence officials.

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“Project Veritas Video Was a ‘Coordinated Disinformation Campaign,’ Researchers Say”

NYT:

A deceptive video released on Sunday by the conservative activist James O’Keefe, which claimed through unidentified sources and with no verifiable evidence that Representative Ilhan Omar’s campaign had collected ballots illegally, was probably part of a coordinated disinformation effort, according to researchers at Stanford University and the University of Washington.

Mr. O’Keefe and his group, Project Veritas, appear to have made an abrupt decision to release the video sooner than planned after The New York Times published a sweeping investigation of President Trump’s taxes, the researchers said. They also noted that the timing and metadata of a Twitter post in which Mr. Trump’s son shared the video suggested that he might have known about it in advance.

Project Veritas had hyped the video on social media for several days before publishing it. In posts amplified by other prominent conservative accounts, Mr. O’Keefe teased what he said was evidence of voter fraud, and urged people to sign up at “ballot-harvesting.com” to receive the supposed evidence when it came out. (None of the material in the video actually proved voter fraud.)

Mr. O’Keefe’s promotional posts had said the video would be released on Monday, but Project Veritas released it on Sunday instead, a few hours after the publication of The Times’s investigation. The researchers concluded that this timing was unlikely to be a coincidence “given the huge marketing about a 9/28 release date,” they wrote in an analysis that Alex Stamos, who led the research team at the Stanford Internet Observatory, shared with The Times.

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“Trump Repeatedly Attacked Mail-In Voting During the Debate. There’s No Evidence Behind His Claim”

Time:

Trump’s rhetoric on the validity of the elections process was both lacking evidence and in stark contrast to how the issue is being judged in courtrooms across the country. The Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee have filed a series of lawsuits in states that have expanded mail-in-voting — many as a result of the coronavirus pandemic — alleging that these new regulations are a blueprint for fraud and will undermine the integrity of the election system. This has largely been a losing battle. In crucial swing states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, the courts have ruled in favor of expanded access to mail-in voting.

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Another Must-Read from Republican Star Election Lawyer Ben Ginsberg: “How Trump’s evidence-free attacks on elections damage the Republican Party”

The WaPo oped concludes:

The great danger for the Republican Party is that the president’s claims will shine a spotlight on whether proof of widespread fraud exists to support their positions. Again, such proof doesn’t exist.

Rather than suffer a series of defeats, Republican lawyers should evaluate the evidence and settle some of those cases they joined reflexively to counter Democrats. As a general matter, Republicans are on the strongest ground in the cases in which they are arguing to uphold existing state laws against Democratic attempts to weaken protections. In such situations, the elected legislature and governor have made a policy judgment that should be respected. The Supreme Court has been reluctant to allow unelected judges to overturn elected officials’ decisions, especially close to elections.

But in other cases Republicans need to guard against having their arguments for preventing fraud look like efforts to stop groups from voting because they might not support the president. That more Democrats than Republicans seem to be getting ready to vote by mail makes the president’s rhetoric on mail-in ballots sound like a blatant attempt to stop non-supporters’ votes from being counted.

Then there is the question of what happens after Election Day, in particular to Republican candidates in tight races. Imagine a down-ballot Republican candidate clinging to a narrow lead in a state — especially a presidential battleground state — where Republicans are litigating, pre- or post-election, on the basis of fraud.

That Republican — picture Senate candidates in Georgia, North Carolina, Maine, Colorado, Arizona, Iowa or Montana who want to defend their leads — would have the added burden of explaining away Trump’s claims that the results are rigged or fraudulent. In such a situation the president’s words are certain to be used against those candidates.

The president’s absence of commitment to the peaceful transfer of power and his call to invalidate millions of mailed-in and absentee ballots are his latest actions painting the Republican Party into a dangerous corner. Granting his wish to disenfranchise millions of voters without evidence of widespread fraud would actually cause a “rigged” election and threaten a peaceful transfer of power. As when he urged his North Carolina supporters to vote both by mail and in-person, Trump would be the arsonist firefighter committing the crime about which he complains.

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“The battleground states that might count election results the slowest”

WaPo:

More than 1 million early votes have already been cast in the 2020 election, but in several battleground states, mail-in ballots will go virtually untouched until right before Election Day. This delay, which is dictated by state laws, could cause results to trickle in for some of the closest races nationwide.

The Bipartisan Policy Center recommends states allow processing of ballots to start at least seven days before the Election, on Oct. 27. Five states with competitive races for the presidency allow less time than that, with two — Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — not allowing ballots to be processed before Election Day.

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“Early surge of Democratic mail voting sparks worry inside GOP”

WaPo:

Democratic voters who have requested mail ballots — and returned them — greatly outnumber Republicans so far in key battleground states, causing alarm among GOP party leaders and strategists that President Trump’s attacks on mail voting could be hurting the party’s prospects to retain the White House and the Senate this year.

Of the more than 9 million voters who requested mail ballots through Monday in Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Maine and Iowa, the five battleground states where such data is publicly available, 52 percent were Democrats. Twenty-eight percent were Republicans, and 20 percent were unaffiliated.

Additional internal Democratic and Republican Party data obtained by The Washington Post shows a similar trend in Ohio, Minnesota, New Hampshire and Wisconsin.

Even more alarming to some Republicans, Democrats are also returning their ballots at higher rates than GOP voters in two of those states where that information is available: Florida and North Carolina.

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7th Circuit Panel (Including J. Easterbrook) Unanimously Upholds Extensions of Wisconsin Ballot Receipt Deadlines, Finding that Republican Party and Republican Legislature to Not Have Injury to Establish Article III Jurisdiction

Very interesting way that this case got resolved, and it does raise the question if there is anyone with standing to appeal given that Wisconsin’s executive branch is fine with this extension.

Observation from Marty Lederman:

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“Trump campaign tells elections boards across NC to ignore state guidance on absentee ballots”

WRAL:

County boards of elections across North Carolina on Tuesday started the process of determining which absentee ballots could be accepted for the general election and which needed further work by voters.

With record numbers of voters casting ballots by mail this election because of the pandemic – more than 278,000 ballots have already been mailed in, compared with fewer than 200,000 total in the 2016 election – the task is an arduous one that will last past Election Day. A battle between President Donald Trump’s campaign and state elections officials isn’t making it any easier, either.

The Trump campaign sent a letter to all Republicans on county election boards, urging them to disregard new state guidelines for absentee-by-mail ballots….

Judith Kelley, dean of the Sanford School of Public Policy at Duke University and an international expert on election security, said it’s “absolutely not common” for a political campaign to instruct local election officials on which state rules to follow or not follow.

“I don’t recall a similar situation,” Kelley said, adding that the letter is the latest aspect of a national push by the Trump campaign to cast doubt on the outcome of the upcoming elections.

“It’s an effort to sow confusion and to undermine the confidence in the process,” she said. “We should all be able to unite around the process, and this is not – this is not helpful.”

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“Trump says poll watchers are being blocked from observing early voting in Philly. He’s wrong.”

Philly Inquirer:

President Donald Trump wrongly said Tuesday that poll watchers were being improperly blocked from observing the first day of in-person early voting in Philadelphia.

He made the false claims on Twitter, first retweeting his son Eric and then going further to accuse city officials of corruption. “Wow. Won’t let Poll Watchers & Security into Philadelphia Voting Places,” he said. “There is only one reason why. Corruption!!! Must have a fair Election.”

But there were several reasons — none is corruption — why elections staff did not allow members of the public to arbitrarily enter their offices. The Trump campaign has no poll watchers approved to work in Philadelphia at the moment. There are no actual polling places open in the city right now. And elections officials are following coronavirus safety regulations such as those limiting the number of people indoors.

It’s true that voters were casting ballots Tuesday, but the locations where they were doing this are satellite elections offices where mail ballots can be requested, completed, and submitted. Poll watchers don’t have the same rights at such locations as they do at traditional polling places on Election Day, officials said.

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“Trump doesn’t decide who wins the election. We do.”

New Vanita Gupta:

Right now, the polls say Trump is losing the election. Fearful of losing, he is flexing power he doesn’t have to discourage people from exercising the power they do. But Trump succeeds only if voters fall prey to his intimidation tactics and decide not to cast their ballot. We cannot let this happen. Every vote matters. And if in November the people say Trump must go, he will have to go.

Authoritarian regimes take root when citizens give up on their democratic institutions as rigged and illegitimate; voters succumb to their fear of the party in power and choose to sit out. That’s why it’s vital to clarify what a U.S. president can and can’t do.

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“How Facebook could help plunge our democracy into chaos on Nov. 4”

Greg Sargent:

The threat this time resides in a combustible combination of two factors. The first is what’s known as Facebook’s “Group recommendation engine,” which drives people to private Facebook groups. Experts have long warned that these private groups are festering grounds for disinformation and extremist activity, from QAnon to anti-vaxxers, and that the recommendation engine drives people unwittingly into them.

The second is President Trump himself — or, more specifically, Trump’s ongoing claim that the election must be decided on or just after Election Day, and that the millions and millions of still-uncounted ballots will inevitably be fraudulent.

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“Symposium: Ginsburg was a champion of voting rights, but mostly in dissent”

I have written this analysis for SCOTUSBlog, part of a symposium on Justice Ginsburg’s jurisprudence. It begins:

During her tenure on the Supreme Court, Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg unfailingly sided with voters in election cases and viewed the Constitution as giving Congress broad power to protect voting rights. Sitting on a mostly conservative Supreme Court (when it came to these issues) from 1993 to 2020, Ginsburg unsurprisingly wrote more often in dissent than as the author of majority opinions in election cases. I count 14 dissents, six majority opinions and four concurrences — concurrences that proved exceptionally influential.

The most important election case decided while Ginsburg sat on the Supreme Court was Bush v. Gore, the 2000 case ending the state-court-ordered recount of votes in Florida, effectively handing the presidency to Republican George W. Bush over Democrat Al Gore. Ginsburg’s dissent calling for the Florida recount of ballots to continue was one of four dissenting opinions issued in the case; she told Professor Jeffrey Rosen in 2014 that issuing four dissents was a tactical error that “confused the press.” She encouraged dissenters to speak in one voice in future cases….

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“There’s a Right and a Wrong Way to Talk About Trump’s Attempts to Rig the Election”

Andy Kroll:

Lately, she has urged her liberal brethren to stop promoting the idea that the 2020 election will be rigged, stolen, or a coup as a fait accompli. Doing so, she wrote, feeds into Trump’s voter-suppression strategy, which forms the centerpiece of his reelection bid, and is counterproductive to turning out the low-propensity voters that Democrats need. Instead, they should make clear that Trump is attempting to sabotage the election but in the end the voters have the ultimate power to remove him from office, a subtle but critical distinction, she says.

She isn’t the only one worried about this negative echo chamber: Michael Podhorzer, a senior adviser to the president of the AFL-CIO, told New York Times columnist Michelle Goldberg that the union’s polling data showed “we do Trump’s work for him when we respond to his threats rather than remind voters that they will decide who the next president will be if they vote.”

How should Joe Biden talk on the campaign trail? In the face of vicious voter intimidation and suppression, how do Democrats best mobilize their voters and persuade undecideds? I spoke twice by phone with Shenker-Osorio, who is based in Oakland, in the last week to try to answer these questions and understand why Democrats have such a persuasion problem.

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“Three easy steps to help prevent a calamitous election failure”

Ned Foley WaPo oped:

The first change is a one-sentence addition to a state’s election code. This would provide that all of a state’s ballot-counting procedures, including recounts and judicial contests of results, must be complete by the federal “safe harbor” deadline, Dec. 8.

The safe-harbor deadline protects states against having election results second-guessed by Congress, so long as a state finishes all its vote counting by then. Meeting this deadline is a way for states to prevent partisan conflict from subverting the will of the people by having the clock run out on counting ballots. Several states have this kind of provision, and Pennsylvania especially should add one….

Of the battleground states, Pennsylvania seems most vulnerable to running out of time, because of the particular way it permits challenges and appeals to specific ballots. Adding a specific statutory requirement that all these procedures conclude by the safe-harbor deadline would give local administrators and judges leverage to prevent abusive delay tactics.

The Pennsylvania legislature and governor are in the midst of negotiating how much time before Election Day to allow for verifying the eligibility of absentee ballots — an extremely worthwhile change just adopted in Michigan. Their negotiations should also include this single sentence on the safe-harbor point.

The second simple measure would be for Congress to extend the safe-harbor deadline from Dec. 8 to Jan. 1. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) has already proposed such a measure. It’s the flip side of the previous point: Because states are at risk of running out of time, just give them some more. There’s no reason not to, and the Rubio bill should receive swift bipartisan support.

Finally, two influential state-based groups — the National Governors Association and the National Association of Secretaries of State — should issue clear bipartisan statements that the presidential election in each state should be based on counting the ballots as existing law requires. No state legislature should intervene to repudiate that result, posing the threat of competing slates of electors submitted to Congress.

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Brook Thomas Guest Post: “Looking Forward: Albion W. Tourgée on Contested Elections and Voter Suppression”

The following is a fascinating guest post by my UC Irvine colleague, Brook Thomas, Chancellor’s Professor in the English Department:

Albion W. Tourgée is best known as Homer Plessy’s attorney. Less well known is how poignantly he speaks to today’s fears of a contested election, alleged voter fraud, and documented voter suppression.

Also a novelist, in 1887 he published “Eighty-Nine depicting an unresolved election in 1888 engineered by a coalition of the Order of the Southern Cross and northern monopolists, led by a figure based on J.D. Rockefeller. Intent on controlling the labor problem in the North and the labor/race problem in the South, the conspirators manage to have the responsibility for electing a president devolve to Congress and then exploit a loop-hole in the Twelfth Amendment to “prevent a quorum in either branch” (403). In the chaos following the failure to elect a president and a vice-president, the South peacefully secedes and subordinates blacks leaving monopolists to dominate workers in the remaining states.

Tourgée hoped his dystopian romance would help Republicans defeat Democrats in 1888. He especially loathed incumbent president Grover Cleveland who had hired a substitute during the Civil War, opposed Reconstruction, and named a former Confederate to the Supreme Court. But even though Democrats created a home for white supremacists, Tourgée knew that his own party was primarily responsible for the growing disparity of wealth in the country. When Republicans won the presidency and majorities in both houses of Congress, Tourgée addressed the link between racial and economic injustice by advocating legislation designed to combat the suppression of black voters.

As a former carpetbagger judge in North Carolina, Tourgée knew the problems with the February 1871 Enforcement Act. Paradoxically proving impossible to enforce, the act, nonetheless, fed white Southerner complaints about “bayonet rule” and federal interference into local affairs. Thinking pragmatically, Tourgée recommended leaving local elections to the states. But thinking imaginatively, he drew on Article I, section 4, of the Constitution that allows Congress to alter the “Times, Places, and Manner of holding elections for Senators and Representatives” and proposed giving the federal government, not states, control of federal elections.

  Undercutting complaints about federal interference in local government, his proposal was designed to keep African Americans voting nationally. He was confident the South would go along, because under Section II of the Fourteenth Amendment failure to comply would lessen representation in Congress and the electoral college.

Tourgée’s plan had the support of the speaker of the House and the Colored Men’s Convention. But Senator Henry Cabot Lodge insisted on his own bill. Some historians praise Lodge’s Federal Election Bill as the last attempt at Reconstruction. But Tourgée pointed to its numerous flaws. First, it was modeled on the failed 1871 act. Second, federal supervision would kick in only if enough locals registered a compliant. Those doing so in the South would risk their lives. Third, Lodge thought that he could overcome southern resistance by arguing that, like the old act, it was national, not sectional, in its reach. In an essay defending his measure, he wrote that it was “designed especially to meet the notorious frauds . . . in the great cities of the North.” (“The Federal Election Bill,” North American Review [Sept 1890]: 257-73.)  That was true. Lodge hoped to gain Republican votes from blacks in the South and to reduce Democratic votes by disqualifying allegedly illegal votes of northern immigrants. Today we blame the South for literacy tests, but Lodge was proud of Massachusetts’ literacy requirement enacted in the 1850s to minimize the Irish immigrant vote. Later he sponsored a bill requiring a literacy test for naturalization that passed over Woodrow Wilson’s veto.

Tourgée was also concerned about illiterate voters. But rather than disqualify voters, he proposed wiping out illiteracy through federal aid to education. Over objections to federal interference into states’ control of education, he cited national security. As one of his fictional black characters put it, “The ignorant vote is a source of actual peril.” Nonetheless, Republicans went with Lodge’s bill, which failed in the Senate when eight Republicans traded their votes for Democratic support on economic measures: a steep tariff and currency issues. Although Tourgée was a protectionist, he refused to consider the “American hog of more importance than the American citizen.”

The need to protect the American citizen was especially pressing because 1890 witnessed the Mississippi Constitutional Convention that effectively disenfranchised black voters through a poll tax and an arbitrary literacy test. Tourgée denounced the convention as the worst abuse of state power since secession. As the economist Michael Clemens notes in his forthcoming The Walls of Nations, Tourgée also pointed to the economic motivation of disenfranchisement by quoting a member of the convention: “If the negro is permitted to engage in politics, his usefulness as a laborer is at an end. He can no longer be controlled or utilized and the prosperity of the State will be destroyed.” Tourgée had a different view of what prosperity entailed and reminded Northerners that they would sell more of their products in the South only if workers—black and white—had more purchasing power.

In the midst of this controversy, Tourgée proposed an innovative interpretation of the Fifteenth Amendment’s prohibition on using race to deny or abridge “the right of citizens of the United States to vote.” (“The Right to Vote” The Forum 9 [March 1890]: 78-92.)   When the amendment was proposed in 1869, he argued, it could not have applied to non-citizens allowed to vote in thirteen states. Nor was suffrage inherent in US citizenship, since women couldn’t vote. Thus, the phrase must refer to a vested, not an abstract, right. Under Reconstruction measures the right to vote had been conferred to black males in the South. On this basis, he suggested that the Fifteenth Amendment prohibited denying black male citizens a right they had already been granted.  

Tourgée’s interpretation did not prevail, but, as another of his fictional characters put it, we should never forget “what the law ought to be, in trying to find out what it was.”

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“The mail-in voting tech industry can’t keep up”

Protocol:

Despite ramping up capacity and working overtime, mail-in ballot vendors like Runbeck have been struggling to meet the needs of every state and county knocking on their doors. Along with COVID-19-related disruption to their supply chains, companies that print and stuff ballots or make ballot inserters, openers, sorters, trackers and scanners have had to grapple with unprecedented demand for postal voting tech, buzzer-beater deadlines and a flurry of court cases deciding who will even be allowed to vote by mail and where and when.

Already, Runbeck has printed more ballots in the last two months than it did in all of 2016. In some cases, it’s been forced to turn business away. Ellington said Runbeck, which stuffs ballots for the entire state of Georgia as well as counties in seven other states, had to pull out of a bid to work with the state of Maryland and didn’t even bother bidding on contracts for New Jersey and South Carolina, which have both faced federal lawsuits over mail-in ballots. “The lawsuits and delays handcuff the counties from making a plan,” Ellington said.

In fact, nearly every vendor Protocol spoke with reported having to turn business down because of demand and delays. “In many jurisdictions, it’s likely too late [to procure machines] at this point,” said Wendy Weiser, director of the Democracy Program at NYU’s Brennan Center for Justice.

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“Exclusive: As States Prepared Mail-in Ballots, Postal Service Failed to Update at Least 1.8 Million Addresses”

Time:

For three weeks in August, as election officials across the country were preparing to send out mail-in ballots to tens of millions of voters, the U.S. Postal Service stopped fully updating a national change of address system that most states use to keep their voter rolls current, according to multiple officials who use the system. A USPS spokesperson acknowledged the failure in response to questions from TIME, and said that at least 1.8 million new changes of address had not been registered in the database.

It is not clear to what extent the failure, which has not been previously reported, could compromise Americans’ ability to vote in this fall’s election. In normal times, hundreds of thousands of people move every week, and those numbers have increased during the COVID pandemic, which has forced millions of people, particularly young adults, to relocate at higher rates than usual, according to public polling and news reports. As of early June, some 3% of adults had moved and 6% had someone move in with them because of the pandemic, according to a Pew survey. That, and concern about the health risks of voting in person, experts from both parties say, will mean an unprecedented reliance on mail-in voting this year.

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PA legislators ask SCOTUS to stay mail deadline ruling

(Cross-posted at Take Care)

The state Senate leadership in Pennsylvania, intervenors in litigation over the deadline to receive ballots cast by mail, has just asked the U.S. Supreme Court to stay a Sept. 17 decision of the Pennsylvania Supreme Court. The Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that ballots must be counted if they’re received by Nov. 6, unless a preponderance of the evidence shows that those ballots were mailed after Election Day. The stay request asserts that this decision violates the federal law setting November 3 as Election Day, and also that it violates the Elections Clause of the Constitution.

That latter claim is worth a moment. The Elections Clause says that “The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof . . . ,” unless Congress says otherwise.  The U.S. Supreme Court has consistently interpreted this delegation to the “Legislature” to mean a delegation to the state lawmaking process (see, e.g., the 2015 opinion by Justice Ginsburg upholding Arizona’s independent redistricting commission).

The stay application filed at the U.S. Supreme Court claims that the Pennsylvania Supreme Court “has substituted its will for the will of the General Assembly, and this substitution usurps the authority vested in the General Assembly by the Elections Clause.” The stay application also claims that “denying the requested stay will have a cascading effect on th[e] Court’s docket,” with a lot of other cases in the hopper.

Those are big claims. But I’m not at all sure that the frame is right … and I’m quite sure that granting the stay on Elections Clause grounds would have a much larger and more disruptive cascading impact.

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State Court Election Cases and the “Purcell” Doctrine

The Supreme Court’s “Purcell” doctrine instructs federal courts that judicial changes to election laws are disfavored as we get close to an election.  But this is a doctrine about the equitable powers of federal courts.  It is not a principle of substantive, federal constitutional law.  That means it does not apply to state courts addressing election-law claims, and a great deal of election-law litigation takes place in state courts under state law.  The recent Pennsylvania Supreme Court decision, for which the PA GOP and others are now seeking a stay in the United States Supreme Court, is one prominent example.

As a follow-up to Nick’s rich post about the Purcell doctrine, I wanted to flag this issue and offer some thoughts about it.  State courts often operate under different jurisdictional and equitable doctrines than the federal courts.  Some state courts, for example, issue advisory opinions, which the federal courts cannot.  Judicial doctrine in a state might not recognize any state-law analogue to Purcell, which would mean a state court might require changes to election law past the point at which federal courts would have the power to do so.  Even if a state court does acknowledge something like the Purcell principle, it might apply that principle differently than the Supreme Court would. 

Yet the Supreme Court would not have the power to stay or overturn these state court decisions for coming too late in time and thus violating Purcell.  This creates something of an anomaly.  If a federal district court late in the day ordered a state voting-law changed, based on the federal Constitution, the Supreme Court (or a court of appeals) could stay that decision because it came too close to the election.  But if a state court ordered the exact same change on the exact same day, based on state law, Purcell would have no bearing on that decision.   

If it seems odd that federal courts cannot make these last-minute changes, but state courts are free to do so, that raises this question:  could Purcell be transformed into a substantive rule of constitutional law that would then bind the state as well as federal courts?  It is not hard to see what that argument would look like.  The Supreme Court could decide that last-minute changes to election rules violate the Court’s right-to-vote doctrine under the Fourteenth Amendment, because, for example, they risk creating significant voter confusion.  We can also envision arguments that these last-minute state-court changes violate due process, on the basis of principles already reflected to some extent in existing doctrine. 

But turning Purcell from a principle about federal-court equitable powers into a substantive rule of constitutional law would take a significant doctrinal development.  I’m not expressing a view as to whether that would be a positive development or not.  My aim here is to flag a potentially significant issue about Purcell and state courts that I do not think has yet been discussed.

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I Was a Guest on Slate’s “What’s Next” Podcast Talking About the Election and Peaceful Transitions of Power

Listen:

The Most Important Question in Tonight’s Debate: President Trump has yet to commit to a peaceful transfer of power if he loses the election.

When you settle in to watch the Presidential debate tonight, maybe you’ll be listening to hear how Trump talks about the New York Times story regarding his tax returns. Maybe you’ll want to hear what Joe Biden has to say about the Supreme Court.

But Rick Hasen, an election law expert at UC-Irvine, says he’ll be listening for something else: how the two candidates talk about the integrity of this election.

Guest: Rick Hasen, an election law expert at UC-Irvine and the author of “Election Meltdown: Dirty Tricks, Distrust, and the Threat to American Democracy.”

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On the Issues with Michele Goodwin (Ms. Podcast): “Bonus Episode: Can the President Suspend the Elections?”

On this episode:

On today’s show, we focus on the question: Can the president suspend the elections? The short answer: No. But while the law is clear, President Trump’s efforts to delay the elections, sow distrust in our democratic processes, and wreak havoc on the U.S. electoral process are already well underway.

On July 30, President Trump tweeted mail-in voting will make this year’s elections “the most inaccurate and fraudulent election in history.” (In reality, mail-in voter fraud averages 0.0025 percent.) This, just months after he and others dismissed as ridiculous Democratic presidential nominee Joseph Biden’s warnings in April that Trump might “try to kick back the election somehow” or “come up with some rationale why it can’t be held.”

The president’s tweets and public comments raise serious questions about the integrity of the upcoming elections. For example, what are the ramifications of Trump suggestions that we suspend the election? Will access to mail-in ballots (or lack thereof) impact voter turnout? Can Trump invoke martial law if he loses the election? What are the possible threats to our democracy come November?

With Guests:

  • Karen J. Greenberg, the director of the Center on National Security at Fordham Law and a permanent member of the Council on Foreign Relations, specializing in the intersection between national security policy, the rule of law and human rights. She is the host of “Vital Interests Podcast,” the editor-in-chief of three online publications and has written and edited numerous books including: “Rogue Justice: The Making of the Security State.” 
  • Prof. Rick Hasen, chancellor’s professor of law and political science at the University of California, Irvine and a nationally recognized expert in election law and campaign finance regulation. He is a CNN election 2020 analyst and co-author of leading casebooks in election law.  He has authored over 100 articles on election law issues, published in numerous journals including the Harvard Law Review, Stanford Law Review and Supreme Court Review.
  • Rep. Mikie Sherrill represents New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District. Congresswoman Sherrill serves as freshman whip for the New Democrat Coalition and sits on the House Armed Services Committee and the House Science, Space and Technology Committee. She is the chairwoman of the Environment Subcommittee for the Science, Space and Technology Committee.
  • Prof. Stephen Vladeck, the A. Dalton Cross professor in law at the University of Texas School of Law and a nationally recognized expert on the federal courts, constitutional law, national security law and military justice. He is also the co-host of the popular and award-winning “National Security Law Podcast.” He is a CNN Supreme Court analyst and a co-author of Aspen Publishers’ leading national security law and counterterrorism law casebooks.

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“National Data Release Sheds Light On Past Polling Place Changes”

The Center for Public Integrity and Stateline have performed a valuable public service by putting together a large database on polling place locations, and changes to them, over numerous recent election cycles. This should be a terrific research tool. A brief summary of the first release of this information, which will come in tranches:

The first installment of a new national data release that will help journalists and researchers analyze polling place accessibility was released Tuesday as part of an investigative series, Barriers to the Ballot Box, from The Center for Public Integrity and Stateline.

The data, posted to Github, includes polling place locations and addresses for 30 states for the 2012, 2014, 2016 and 2018 general elections, and is aimed at aiding reporting and research on the impact that polling place closures and changes could have on the 2020 election. Data for additional states will be added in the coming weeks.

Polling place reductions and changes can lower turnout by creating confusion and barriers for voters, potentially disenfranchising them. There is no national public database of polling place locations and addresses for past federal elections.

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“‘This is a nightmare’: New Yorkers get absentee ballots with the wrong return envelope”

From the Washington Post:

It’s not clear how many New Yorkers have been affected, but advocates said the issue appeared to be widespread in Brooklyn. “I have heard from dozens of voters individually today, all concentrated in Brooklyn, that they have received return ballot envelopes that are not in their name,” Ali Najmi, a New York elections lawyer, told The Post.

Michael Ryan, executive director of the New York City Board of Elections, said that he learned of the error on Saturday, Gothamist reported. Ryan blamed a vendor with a contract to print and mail absentee ballots for voters in Queens and Brooklyn.

Meanwhile, early in-person voting starts Oct. 24, 2020 in New York.

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“Commerce Secretary Ross says 2020 census will end Oct. 5 despite court order”

NBC News:

U.S. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross says the 2020 census will end Oct. 5, despite a federal judge’s ruling last week allowing the head count of every U.S. resident to continue through the end of October, according to a tweet posted on the Census Bureau’s website Monday.

The tweet said the ability for people to self-respond to the census questionnaire and the door-knocking phase when census takers go to homes that haven’t yet responded is targeted to end Oct. 5.

The announcement came as a virtual hearing was being held in San Jose, California, as a follow-up to U.S. District Judge Lucy Koh’s preliminary injunction. The injunction ordered last week suspended the Census Bureau’s deadline for ending the head count on Sept. 30, which automatically reverted the deadline back to an older Census Bureau plan in which the deadline for ending field operations was Oct. 31.

The new Oct. 5 deadline doesn’t necessarily violate the judge’s order because the injunction just suspended the Sept. 30 deadline for field operations, as well as a Dec. 31 deadline the Census Bureau has for turning in figures used for determining how many congressional seats each state gets in a process known as apportionment. The census also is used to determine how to distribute $1.5 trillion in federal spending annually.

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“Courts view GOP fraud claims skeptically as Democrats score key legal victories over mail voting”

WaPo:

For six months, the rules for how Americans can vote during the coronavirus pandemic have been locked in court battles while states across the country rushed to embrace mail ballots.

Now, with just weeks to go before the Nov. 3 election, voting rights advocates and Democrats have advanced on key fronts in the legal war,scoring victories that make mail voting easier, ensure votes cast by mail are counted and protect the wide distribution of mail ballots in some states.

A review by The Washington Post of nearly 90 state and federal voting lawsuits found that judges have been broadly skeptical as Republicans use claims of voter fraud to argue against such changes, declining to endorse the GOP’s arguments or dismissing them as they examined limits on mail voting. In no case did a judge back President Trump’s view — refuted by experts — that fraud is a problem significant enough to sway a presidential election.

Some of the Democrats’ wins have been preliminary.And in many cases, judges issued split decisions, granting some of the changes sought by liberal plaintiffs and otherwise maintaining the status quo as favored by Republicans.

But The Post found that judges appointed by Republicans and Democrats alike have been dubious of GOP arguments that lowering barriers to mail voting could lead to widespread fraud.

“Do you have any evidence of any voter fraud actually existent in Montana in the last 10 to 20 years?” District Judge Dana L. Christensen, an appointee of President Barack Obama, pressed a GOP lawyer in a Missoula courtroom last week.

“No,” said the lawyer, James Bopp Jr., who is representing Republicans in a suit challenging the state’s decision to allow counties to run all-mail elections this fall. “No. But it is, with all due respect, I understand your question, but, no, it’s irrelevant.”…

Many important rules for voting remain in flux after hundreds of cases were filed in more than 44 states. The decisions will shape the contours of an election already made singular by the public health crisis and Trump’s preemptive declarations that the outcome will be rigged.

So far, GOP lawyers have scored several defensive wins related to mail ballots, such as maintaining North Carolina’s witness requirement and keeping in place limitations on third parties collecting and returning ballots or applications, which Republicans deride as “harvesting,” in Florida, Minnesota and Michigan.

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Minnesota: “Rep. Angie Craig files lawsuit over delay of Second Congressional District race”

Star Tribune:

U.S. Rep. Angie Craig filed a lawsuit Monday to block the delay of the Second Congressional District election, which state election officials pushed to February after the death of a third-party marijuana legalization candidate.

Craig, a Democratic freshman incumbent, is competing with Republican Tyler Kistner for the seat that includes suburbs in the south metro and a wide swath of southern Minnesota. Legal Marijuana Now candidate Adam Charles Weeks died last week.

Kistner’s campaign said it opposes the suit.

Under state law, the death of a major-party candidate less than 79 days before an election requires a postponement and special election. The Legal Marijuana Now Party narrowly qualified as a major party in Minnesota based on past election results.

Craig filed the suit in federal court along with Apple Valley resident Jenny Winslow Davies, arguing that their goal is to ensure the district is not left without a representative between the end of her term in January and the February special election.

The suit contends that the postponement would violate federal law and result in “direct, concrete, and irreparable injury” to Minnesota voters.

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