Oct. 10 Online Discussion: “Civil Disagreements: Does the 14th Amendment Bar Trump from Office?”

Announcement via email from “Reform for Illinois”:

Civil Disagreements: Does the 14th Amendment Bar Trump from Office?
Join us for the latest installment of our “Civil Disagreements” series! We’re hosting a virtual panel discussion exploring whether the 14th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution bars President Trump from running for a second term in 2024.

Panelists include:
Mark Graber, University of Maryland School of Law
David Frum, The Atlantic
Michael McConnell, Former Judge, U.S. Court of Appeals for the 10th Circuit

Time: October 10, 4 PM Central. Register here!
  Sponsored by Reform for Illinois and the local chapters of the American Bar Association, the American Constitution Society, and the Federalist Society. 
Register for the discussion here
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“Republicans vow to appeal judge’s ruling upholding New Mexico congressional redistricting map”

Albuquerque Journal:

New Mexico Republicans say they will appeal a state judge’s ruling that knocked down their challenge of congressional redistricting the GOP charges undermines Republican voting strength in the southern part of the state.

In a ruling made public on Friday, District Judge Fred T. Van Soelen conceded that the redistricting plan devised by Democratic lawmakers in 2021 substantially diluted the Republican vote in Congressional District 2 in southern New Mexico.

But the judge denied the New Mexico Republican Party’s challenge on the grounds he did not find that the “vote dilution rises to the level of egregious gerrymandering.”

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“Amazon’s Alexa has been claiming the 2020 election was stolen”

WaPo:

Amid concerns the rise of artificial intelligence will supercharge the spread of misinformation comes a wild fabrication from a more prosaic source: Amazon’s Alexa, which declared that the 2020 presidential election was stolen.

Asked about fraud in the race — in which President Biden defeated former president Donald Trump with 306 electoral college votes — the popular voice assistant said it was “stolen by a massive amount of election fraud,” citing Rumble, a video-streaming service favored by conservatives.

The 2020 races were “notorious for many incidents of irregularities and indications pointing to electoral fraud taking place in major metro centers,” according to Alexa, referencing Substack, a subscription newsletter service. Alexa contended that Trump won Pennsylvania, citing “an Alexa answers contributor.”

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James Sample: “Necessity and Impossibility: Wisconsin and Recusal”

The following is a guest post from James Sample:

My basic reaction to Justice Protasiewicz’s opinion is one bordering on intractable depression.  It’s both necessary and impossible to disaggregate the interwoven components of the entire Wisconsin political milieu.  The matter is a function of myriad interrelated questions, five (ish) of which I set out in wholly incomplete form below:

(1) Should the baseline for Protasiewicz’s recusal analysis be a fresh, de novo consideration of the recusal merits or should it be contextualized by recent Wisconsin practices and shenanigans (See various recent Wisconsin judicial controversies involving, inter alia, Justice (now Chief) Ziegler, Justice Gableman, Justice Prosser, Justice Rebecca Grassl Bradley)?   Phrased differently, recent judicial ethics practices in Wisconsin are widely considered to be egregious by comparison to judicial ethics norms generally; should those practices be relied on as precedent, and if so, or if not, what are the consequences?

(2) Whatever the merits or demerits of judicial elections, if one stipulates, as one must, to an elected judiciary, especially in a state in which gerrymandering is as partisan and skewed as just about anywhere in the country, is it proper or improper to view the campaign process and judicial election itself as a kind of mini-referenda on the anti-democratic redistricting?   Particularly given that the legislature’s gerrymandering, by definition makes it difficult for voters to meaningfully register their displeasure with legislators insulated by that same gerrymandering, is it not arguable that crediting and making manifest the consequences of Justice Protasiewicz’s relatively convincing judicial-electoral win is the best of the bad democratic options?  Is it not arguable that the anti-democratic aspects of partisan gerrymandering would be exacerbated by yet further muting the voters who (at least theoretically) opposed that gerrymander via their judicial election votes?

That is to say, if one believes in judicial elections (and clearly, much to the dismay of most scholars, many people and states do), perhaps then the case exists to be made that a Protasiewicz recusal in this case would deny Wisconsin the attributes of the judicial selection system that, rightly or wrongly, is the one with which they are stuck.  Balancing that “attribute” against the due process and impartiality interests inherent in the judicial role is no easy task, and one as to which reasonable minds can differ.

(2a) While I find Protasiewicz’s opinion to be unpersuasive, she is correct that there is a meaningful distinction between a private individual (Don Blankenship for example) with a direct pecuniary interest (same), spending exorbitantly and disproportionately in a judicial campaign (as he did), where that exorbitant spending still amounted to pennies on his own ROI dollar (as it would have, absent Caperton), for that private individual’s litigation-specific pecuniary interests, and a political party with numerous and diffuse supporters, numerous and diffuse interests, and in a (nominally and frankly falsely) non-partisan campaign.  

Does that difference in degree justify Protasiewicz’s conclusion that she need not recuse?  There is no doubt that the majority in Caperton repeatedly emphasizes the extreme facts, so she is not wrong to advance this line of reasoning, even if one disagrees (as I mostly do) with her conclusion. 

(3) While it is arguably politically savvy on her part, given Speaker Vos and his fellow barbarians at the impeachment gates, to lead with Justice Alito (and to repeatedly cite Chief Justice Roberts’ dissent in Caperton), does this “savvy” not also reinforce a sense that we are in a national judicial ethics race to the bottom?   

An opinion by a non-recusing jurist that leads off by citing Justice Alito as an ethics exemplar, is an avalanche hurtling down democracy mountain towards judicial ethics oblivion.  Whatever one thinks of Protasiewicz’s decision, credit her with this: it is a clear illustration of the fact that the sorry state of judicial ethics in the U.S. Supreme Court has consequences that extend to courthouses far beyond Washington, D.C..  

(4) Is it possibly the case that while Protasiewicz might be required to recuse in just about every state other than Wisconsin, she may nonetheless not be required to do so in Wisconsin?  It bears noting that Wisconsin law on judicial disqualification does differ in certain respects from most other states and from the federal judiciary.  In most states, and in the federal judiciary, the rule is that a judge shall disqualify whenever the judge’s impartiality “might reasonably be questioned.” (See 28 U.S.C. s. 455). 

In Wisconsin, by contrast, that exact language has not been adopted.  Instead, Wisconsin law lists six specific circumstances in which recusal is required, and then, its seventh category “catch-all” provision is markedly different from the more widely applicable standard.  Wisconsin’s catch-all provision requires recusal when the judge “determines that, for any reason, he or she cannot, or it appears that he or she cannot, act in an impartial manner.” (Wis. Stat. § 757.19(2)(g)).  Despite the inclusion of the “or it appears that” language which seems to call for an objective component in the inquiry, historical practice in Wisconsin is that the standard is to “place the determination of partiality solely upon the judge.” (State v. Harrell, 199 Wis. 2d 654, 664, 546 N.W.2d 115 (1996)).  Thus, while the vast majority of judicial ethics scholars would argue that Wisconsin’s practice on this score is uniquely egregious, and perhaps even that Wisconsin courts have historically misread the Wisconsin law (by ignoring the appearance language), it does offer Justice Protasiewicz more than a fig leaf of cover.

(5) What of Republican Party of Minnesota v. White?

Protasiewicz selectively relies on Republican Party of Minnesota v. White in a self-serving, and not entirely credible fashion.  While I happen to agree with her campaign trail statements about the Wisconsin redistricting (and recognize the extraordinary state and national stakes in the case) those statements were much stronger than the statements that were at issue in White. (She used words like “rigged” and “unfair” in describing the scheme). No, her statements didn’t rise to the pledge or promise (as opposed to announce) level, but there is also little doubt that that they come much, much closer than did the statements at issue in White.  Would a rose by any other name effectively be a pledge or promise?

Justice Scalia’s opinion in White emphasized the distinction between announcing views on issues (copacetic) and parties (less so).  Given the zero-sum game of a two-party system, and the zero-sum game of redistricting, it strains credulity to assert that the support of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin for Candidate Protasiwiecz, can truly be disaggregated from her forcefully stated opposition to the redistricting plan that, should it be upheld, would severely and intentionally disadvantage that same Democratic Party of Wisconsin.  I.e., here it is entirely arguable that the “issue” and the “party” are, for practical purposes, one and the same.  

(5a) Finally, Justice Protasiwiecz’ own subjective belief that she can magically transform from Candidate Protasiwiecz – who forcefully and repeatedly expressed clear hostility and opposition to the legislature’s redistricting scheme – to Justice Protasiwiecz – who is an ostensibly blank slate – highlights a fundamental tension of judicial elections.  

To this end, she writes: “I simply expressed my personal opinions as permitted by [White].  When I put on my robe, I put my personal opinions aside.”  

Necessary.  And impossible.

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Kurt Lash: “The Meaning and Ambiguity of Section Three of the Fourteenth Amendment”

Kurt Lash (who will be speaking at the October 20th virtual conference on Trump’s potential disqualification sponsored by the Safeguarding Democracy Project) has posted this draft on SSRN. Here is the abstract:

Section Three of the Fourteenth Amendment disqualified anyone from serving in the House or Senate, or as a presidential elector, if they had betrayed their oath of fealty to United States and joined the Confederacy during the American Civil War. Whether Section Three accomplishes anything more remains unclear as a matter of history and ambiguous as a matter of constitutional text. Section Three does not expressly (1) apply to future rebellions or insurrections, (2) apply to persons elected as President of the United States, (3) apply to persons seeking to qualify as a candidate for the Presidency, or (4) indicate whether the enforcement of Section Three requires the passage of enabling legislation.

Prior drafts of Section Three included versions that expressly named the office of the President of the United States, expressly banned presidential candidates from qualifying as a candidate, and expressly applied to both past and future rebellions. Congress omitted all of this language from the final version of Section Three. This final language led the best lawyer in the House to assume that the text did not include the office of the President. Although a single member disagreed, their exchange went unreported in the press, leaving open the possibility that less sophisticated members of the public might also read the text as excluding the office of the President. The exclusion would not have been “absurd” since the Electors Clause ensured that only loyal electors could vote for the President.

Key framers and ratifiers also expressly insisted that Section Three would not be self-executing. As Thaddeus Stevens explained, Section Three “will not execute itself,” and at least some participants in the ratifying assemblies expressly agreed (no one claimed otherwise). As far as future rebellions were concerned, the historical record reveals both framers and ratifiers dividing over the text’s possible application to future insurrections. In sum, the historical record supports Jacob Howard’s explanation of the original understanding and scope of Section Three: The provision was “intended to put some sort of stigma, some sort of odium upon the leaders of this rebellion, and no other way is left to do it but by some provision of this kind.” Whether the public understood the ambiguous text as allowing for anything more remains historically unclear.

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