See here. Paging Nate Persily. UPDATE: Nate (Persily) points me to this follow-up post from Nate (Silver), which shows more of the pattern I expected to see.
See here. Paging Nate Persily. UPDATE: Nate (Persily) points me to this follow-up post from Nate (Silver), which shows more of the pattern I expected to see.