Eric McGhee for the Monkey Cage:

John Sides and I recently released a forecast for this year’s U.S. House elections. This forecast shows that it will be hard, though not impossible, for the Democrats to retake the House, despite the problems facing Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and the potential for him to hurt candidates down the ballot. Even if Clinton wins by 12 points and has strong coattails for House candidates, the Democrats have no better than a 50/50 chance of gaining the majority.

So does that mean that voters just prefer having the House in Republican hands?

Not exactly.