Over the past six months, FairVote has analyzed a number of Republican presidential nomination polls and collaborated with the College of William and Mary on our own national poll, with an eye toward understanding who would likely win with a ranked choice voting rule. Notably, that winner rarely was Donald Trump, including in our poll and in most contests won by Trump– and indeed, Trump has still not won a primary or caucus with a majority of the vote. However, as the field has been reduced to Trump, Ted Cruz and John Kasich, Trump’s frontrunner status is seemingly being accepted by more grassroots Republican voters, and he is poised to be a majority nominee.